Kerry Only Democrat Leading Bush in California According to New Poll (Kerry 52, Bush 48)

Knowledge Networks ^ | 2.18.04

[ambrose]

Knowledge Networks was fairly accurate during the recall, if my memory serve me...

[noexcuses]

I'm impressed...Bush within the margin in California??

[Paleo Conservative]

Well let's reverse the spin here. Republicans haven't even come close to winning California since they last won ther in 1988. If Kerry is only up by four points during the middle of primary season, California is in play.

[#3Fan]

Break up California!

[goldstategop]

Kerry has only a 4-point lead in liberal and Democratic California? There's no real excitement about this guy, that's clear.

[mystery-ak]

With the MOE it's a dead heat...

[eureka!]

I think they were accurate, but I don't remember for sure. That W gets 51% of the Hispanic vote in this one is amazing. If that is a trend, the Rats are toast (I know, I know, it's too early)...

[GiveEmDubya]

There's ups and downs to this:

UP: Only a 4 point spread in California. If anything, that should be trouble for Kerry.
DOWN: It's February; 100% for either candidate? No undecideds, 3rd parties, anything? The Green party will get at least 5% of the vote here.

[cripplecreek]

That has to scare democrats. Caleeforneeeya is traditionally much further to the democratic side.

[Celtjew Libertarian]

This could be huge. Gore beat Bush by almost 12% in California in 2000. Bush has been taking a batter from the Democratic candidates, the GOP hasn't yet trained its sites on Kerry, and Bush is down by only 4%.

Expect Kerry's numbers to get a little bit larger, when the primary takes place.... Still.... If the Dems have to defend California against Bush, they're in trouble.

[WinOne4TheGipper]

Momaw, I know you post from that site that gives Pres. Bush only a 17% chance of winning California. I thought this thread might interest you.

[goldstategop]

California IS in play. We've a Republican Governor here who's enormously popular. The truth is I expected a generic Democrat to own this state but considering Kerry's the all but acknowledged Democratic nominee, there's no real enthusiasm for him. He should be doing better then double digits. Algore led Bush by 10 percentage points throughout 2000 in California. What this is - it isn't real good news for Kerry entering into the fall campaign and there's not going to be a big Democratic turnout here in two weeks now that Dean's out of it.

[Celtjew Libertarian]

DOWN: It's February; 100% for either candidate? No undecideds, 3rd parties, anything? The Green party will get at least 5% of the vote here.

Yeah, but the Green vote will most likely be at the expense of the Democrats. (BTW, Nader got less than 4% in 2000, so I think the odds of 5% for the Greens in 2004 is iffy, at best.)

[.cnI redruM]

Cali has moved right in a big way. Gray Davis was a disaster for the Dems in ways they haven't even figured out yet.

[kabar]

WOW. That is encouraging news. Run Ralph Run.

[goldstategop]

The point is Kerry shouldn't have to defend California at all. It should be in the bag for him. But if he can't even get a comfortable lead in what should be a reliable Democratic bastion - where can he win in November? That's why this poll reveals Kerry's support is basically a mile wide and an inch deep.

[Paleo Conservative]

I should also add; the "gay marriage" issue could be decisive in California. The courts so far have refused to stop the issuance of marriage licenses in San Francisco. Kerry being from Massachussets where the courts are mandating the legislature write legislation allowing same-sex marriage won't have much wiggle room. The real news here is the DemocRATS can't automatically count on California and will have to spend lots of money there.

[Republic Rocker]

From what I see here in LA.....it was DEANS town! And now that he has imploded many here may not care as much...they were really Deaniacs! Kerry is not cool enough here. I knew many a Dim who were going to all these Dean Meet Ups and such...I just do not see them getting together now for a Kerry night out!

So being we have arnie...and he is powerful....we can really put the fear in em here...After the recall, anything is possible....

Keep up the gay marriage mayor! You are bring the traditionalist out of the woodwork!

[ALOHA RONNIE]

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'JOHN KERRY = Enemy of Vietnam Vets'

http://www.TheAlamoFILM.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1320



Signed:.."ALOHA RONNIE" Guyer / Vet-"WE WERE SOLDIERS" Battle of IA DRANG-1965

http://www.lzxray.com/guyer_collection.htm
(IA DRANG-1965 Photos)

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