[raloxk]

also, of the close states, only two, FL and NH went for Bush. IA, WA, OR, NM, MI, PA, WI, MN all went Gore. Kerry has to win all those, plus even if he won NH and WV Bush would have 270. OH and FL could go Kerry, OH more than FL I think because FL's economy is doing quite well while OH has lost lots of jobs.

[Owen]

It is analyses like this that point where the resources go. The movement of Electoral Votes from the Census is a big advantage, but it is not enough unless we pick up a battleground state or two. That is absolutely required. We must have this or there is no margin.

What are you doing about it? Many of us live in states that are safe, and frankly, there our activism is not very important. We must export our activism. Be prepared to drive to an adjacent battleground state and GOTV on election day. Drive elderly conservative veterans to the polls. See to it NOW that they are registered. Contact that state's GOP for organizational support.

But the time is now. And it is not near home. This will require sacrifice. Put in at work to have Election day off, now. Know where to go to pick up voters.

I live in Utah and I plan to help in Northern Nevada, which is marginal. Find a marginal state and help.