[SamAdams76]

Bottom line is this: If Bush can just hold on to the states he won last time, he wins. If he can't, then maybe he doesn't deserve to win.

Personally, I am not worried at all. Not complacent. But not worried either. Kerry has to pretty much run the table (of non-Bush 2000 states) and then pick up one or more Bush states.

[raloxk]

also, of the close states, only two, FL and NH went for Bush. IA, WA, OR, NM, MI, PA, WI, MN all went Gore. Kerry has to win all those, plus even if he won NH and WV Bush would have 270. OH and FL could go Kerry, OH more than FL I think because FL's economy is doing quite well while OH has lost lots of jobs.