Latest PresidentElect 2004 Electoral Vote Analysis-- Bush 286, Kerry 252

PresidentElect.org ^ | 2/10/04 | WoodlandsTXFreeper

[CyberCowboy777]

Oregon has voted down state wide tax increases twice in two years. By wide margins.

Gore barely won the state and the Dem Governor ran just left of the Christian Conservative Republican contender.

Oregon is in play.

[Rocket1968]

Maine could also be a surprise. Republicans have been gaining some ground (very slowly), and Maine is one of two states that can split the electoral vote. The democratic governor is not well liked and the democratric legislature can only raise taxes. Just a hunch!

[BSunday]

Bush would be the first popular vote losing president to win a second term.

Arsenio: "things that make you go - hmmmmm"

[GiveEmDubya]

My personal tracker has it at 317-221. It's 317 and not 318 because Wisconsin lost an electoral vote.

Here's my take as of right now. Asterisked states signify a margin less than or equal to 5%.

Bush--Alabama, Alaska, Arizona*, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida*, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa*, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Minnesota*, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada*, New Hampshire*, New Mexico*, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon*, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia*, Wisconsin*, Wyoming

Kerry--California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine*, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan*, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania*, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington, Washington DC

But what do I know, it's February.

[BlackRazor]

Maine could also be a surprise. Republicans have been gaining some ground (very slowly), and Maine is one of two states that can split the electoral vote.

I could see Maine's 2nd district (and its 1 electoral vote) going to Bush. Bush only lost this district by 1.8 percentage points in 2000, though Nader did draw 5.6% there. District 2 will be much tougher. Gore/Nader outpolled Bush by 13.7 percentage points there.

[GiveEmDubya]

Maine could be a surprise, but for now, I'm keeping it in the Kerry column. Baldacci's win in 2002 was not the coronation he hoped for and the legislature is filled with uber-leftists. Bush only lost by a few points and a small swing could give him the state. COULD give him the state.

If he picks up his vote in York & Cumberland a few points, he's got it.

[The Wizard]

bingo

[mwl1]

I mean carpetbomb with television and radio ads.

[WhiteGuy]

Oh..............

That's good.

Besides there are a couple of good things about our state.............