[Blood of Tyrants]

They will do what they think is politically expedient to maintain power.

Exactly. And it will be political suicide to renew the AW ban. It GWB signs the AW extension IN ANY FORM, he WILL NOT be re-elected, and he knows it.

[IGOTMINE]

W has fulfilled every one of his campaign promises. He promised to reauthorize AWB if it gets to his desk. The media will raise the hue and cry...probably starting in May. The Million Moms will be heard from again. The Repubs will cave, again. It will get to his desk and he'll sign it, appeasing people who wouldn't vote for him anyway and slamming his base, again. (CFR and Immigration reform are two examples of such behavior.)

We can go back and forth on this for weeks. Time will tell.