[Semper Paratus]

Good analysis. Lists like this usually have a lot of wishful thinking but not this one.

[Protagoras]

Lists like this usually have a lot of wishful thinking but not this one.

Despite his forays into fiscal liberalism - Medicare, immigration, education - the President maintains phenomenal support among Republicans. A poll in late January by the American Research Group found only 10% of GOPers disapprove of the job he is doing.

This is wishful thinking. The details of the poll would be interesting. His base is spitting mad, they may eventually vote for him, but this statement is wishful thinking IMO.

[Galtoid]

Add Kentucky to the "more Republican" states. For the first time since Reconstruction, Kentucky's Republican Party is even with the Dems. That doesn't sound like a big deal, but trust me. On Saturday, the Courious Urinal had to begrudgingly report that Bush's approval in the Bluegrass STate is a solid 63%, even AFTER the public was informed about the Kay Report. Kentucky is one of those very important electoral states, in that it is a bellwether. Look for Bush to pick up big wins all over the Southeast, including Florida. Kerry will do well in East and a few industrial states. That's IT.