[WKB]

MS PING

[tkathy]

"Arnold Schwarzenegger's victory in California demonstrated that with the right formula, Republicans are capable of recapturing the Golden State. "

IMHO, the "right formula", is a big tent, moderate, inclusive GOP.

Ouch!!!

[elli1]

...''everybody always makes the mistake of looking South.''

Mistake? Post-Kennedy, IIRC the only Dems to have won the WH were from the South...LBJ, Carter, Bubba... Post-Kennedy, no candidate ''identified'' as from the NE has won the presidency...(GHWBush more closely identified w/ Texas.)

[BunnySlippers]

That's why they will tap Edwards for Veep.

[goldstategop]

The Electoral College Math means President Bush already starts out with 186 electoral votes... he could lose California, Ohio, New York, Pennslyvania, Illinois and Michigan and still win the election if he held onto Minnesota. That is if everything else from the 2000 election remained the same. He'd still have three votes to spare two more than last time. In contrast, in writing off the South, the Democrats have to win all of the big states and states trending Republican like Kentucky, Minnesota, and West Virginia. The other party has its work cut out for them this year in building a path to the 270 votes needed to win the White House and with a Yankee liberal as their putative nominee good luck to them in carrying the South in November.

[Chris Talk]

2000 was an anomalous year in Fla, which enabled Gore to break almost-equal in the state, with a lot of help from the Rat media claiming they had won, before polls had closed in the Panhandle.

We are now back to normal, in which Florida is very much a part of the Solid South. It will vote for Bush more handily than two or three OTHER southern states, such as perhaps Ark. or La.

Edwards will not help Dems in the South, even if he IS chosen for Veep. He could not win re-election in the Senate from NC, if he makes the mistake of trying; and he could no more carry his home state for Kerry, than Gore could carry his home state (or Ark.) for himself!

[KantianBurke]

Alabama - R
Alaska - R
Arizona - R
Arkansas - R
California - D
Colorado - R
Connecticut - D
Delaware - D
District of Columbia - D
Florida - R
Georgia - R
Hawaii - D
Idaho - R
Illinois - D
Indiana - R
Iowa - D
Kansas - R
Kentucky - R
Louisiana - R
Maine - D
Maryland - D
Massachusetts - D
Michigan - D
Minnesota - D
Mississippi - R
Missouri - D
Montana - R
Nebraska - R
Nevada - R
New Hampshire - R
New Jersey - D
New Mexico - D
New York - D
North Carolina - R
North Dakota - R
Ohio - D
Oklahoma - R
Oregon - D
Pennsylvania - D
Rhode Island - D
South Carolina - R
South Dakota - R
Tennessee - R
Texas - R
Utah - R
Vermont - D
Virginia - R
Washington - D
West Virginia - R
Wisconsin - D
Wyoming - R

Electoral Totals: Rat gets 291, Bush gets 247. If Dubya signs the AWB and Kerry picks Gephardt (who brings in OH and MO) for VP, this result coming to pass becomes quite possible.

http://www.archives.gov/federal_register/electoral_college/calculator.html