OK: A head-to-head matchup between Carson & Humphreys found. Carson(D) 47% v Humphreys(r)36%.

kfor.com ^ | 02/05/04 | kfor.com via AP

[KQQL]

Congressman Brad Carson and former Oklahoma City Mayor Kirk Humphreys are the apparent leaders for nomination by their parties to the U.S. Senate.

The poll of 525 registered Democrats by Consumer Logic for a Tulsa newspaper found 43 percent for Carson and 14 percent for Insurance Commissioner Carroll Fisher. Five percent were for Muldrow attorney Monte Johnson. The margin of error is 4.25 percentage points.

The survey of 326 registered Republicans found 43 percent for Humphreys and 24 percent for state Corporation Commissioner Bob Anthony. The margin of error in the Republican segment is 5.5 percentage points.

A head-to-head matchup between Carson and Humphreys found 47 percent for Carson and 36 percent for Humphreys.

Incumbent Senator Don Nickles is not running for re-election.

[ambrose]

While the hell doesn't JC Watts run? I can't believe the Republicans are gonna give this seat away.

[KQQL]

OK:
Humphreys 41% v Brad Carson 38%
http://washingtontimes.com/upi-breaking/20031128-031930-3332r.htm

---

REPUBLICAN PARTY will LOSE IL ........and could lose OK and AK senate seats.....

[Pubbie]

Wow, the game was over before it even began.

[KQQL]

@

[Torie]

Well the GOP in general is having a bad path in the polls, and I suspect Carson is better known than Humphreys. Still the poll is a big disappointment. Carson is quite the charmer, and will be difficult to demonize.

[rmmcdaniell]

While the hell doesn't JC Watts run?

He's probably aiming for governor in '06.

[ambrose]

The national results will count in states like Oklahoma...

An uber-liberal like Kerry can drag down good Democrat candidates, just as Clinton did in 1996 with Ben Nelson in Nebraska.

[KQQL]

OK:

Brad Carson(D) 47% v Kirk Humphreys(R) 36%
Consumer Logic Poll - MOE+/- ?(02/04/04)
http://www.kfor.com/Global/story.asp?S=1631801

Kirk Humphreys 41% v Brad Carson 38%
CMA Strategies(R) - MOE+/- 4.3% (11/03)
http://washingtontimes.com/upi-breaking/20031128-031930-3332r.htm

[AmishDude]

Come on, this is with registered voters, sampled 525 Dems and 326 Reps. I don't know what the registration numbers are in OK, but this seems skewed to me.

If these numbers hold up by July, then start worrying. But there hasn't even been a primary yet. Republicans are notorious for holding on to an insurgent candidate and then returning to the fold when the fear of electing a Democrat hits.

You're right about IL, though.

[KQQL]

consumer logic pollster could be Rat pollster, or OK is likes their RAT GOV etc....

OK still has a RAT State house and senate

[KQQL]

still why is KIRK 11 points behind....?


JAN/04 HAS been a bad month for the GOP>...


In Ky 06 KERR (R) is behind 10 points in a republican leaning district ?

what gives.......something is up......... could this be a blimp or a trend....??

[Pubbie]

I think the answer is that they grossly overesampled D voters:

525 Dems and 326 Reps.

[rmmcdaniell]

Well the GOP in general is having a bad path in the polls, and I suspect Carson is better known than Humphreys. Still the poll is a big disappointment. Carson is quite the charmer, and will be difficult to demonize.

This could be due to some questioning Humphrey's conservative credentials. There is a quote somewhere from from Istook in an article a few months back that I cannot find now. In it he predicted that Humphries might not excite voters on account of his attempt to raise taxes in OKC.

Due to the current political situation, conservatives might not be in mood of electing more RINOs.

[COEXERJ145]

61% polled were Rat. 39% were Republican. Tends to throw the poll into the biased column just a bit.

[Pubbie]

No I think they oversampled Democrats in the poll.

[Torie]

The registration balance used in the poll is accurate. Oklahoma has more Tory Dems than most any other state in the nation these days. It party is due to the fact that the Tory Dems have not been estranged by a liberal takeover of their party, and there is not a critical mass of ethnic groups to generate an action, reaction, mechanism.

[KQQL]

but in OK , RATS outnumber republicans....

[Pubbie]

We need your expertise on this one guys - is this a Rat Psyops poll or should we be worried?

[Pubbie]

"but in OK , RATS outnumber republicans...."

Yes but they didn't include any Independents, and Indy's in OK trend R these days.

I think it is a psyops poll.