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OK: A head-to-head matchup between Carson & Humphreys found. Carson(D) 47% v Humphreys(r)36%.
kfor.com ^ | 02/05/04 | kfor.com via AP

Posted on 02/06/2004 7:24:42 PM PST by KQQL

Congressman Brad Carson and former Oklahoma City Mayor Kirk Humphreys are the apparent leaders for nomination by their parties to the U.S. Senate.

The poll of 525 registered Democrats by Consumer Logic for a Tulsa newspaper found 43 percent for Carson and 14 percent for Insurance Commissioner Carroll Fisher. Five percent were for Muldrow attorney Monte Johnson. The margin of error is 4.25 percentage points.

The survey of 326 registered Republicans found 43 percent for Humphreys and 24 percent for state Corporation Commissioner Bob Anthony. The margin of error in the Republican segment is 5.5 percentage points.

A head-to-head matchup between Carson and Humphreys found 47 percent for Carson and 36 percent for Humphreys.

Incumbent Senator Don Nickles is not running for re-election.


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Oklahoma
KEYWORDS: 2004; electionushouse; kirkhumphreys
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1 posted on 02/06/2004 7:24:43 PM PST by KQQL
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To: KQQL
While the hell doesn't JC Watts run? I can't believe the Republicans are gonna give this seat away.
2 posted on 02/06/2004 7:26:17 PM PST by ambrose (John Kerry is a War Criminal, Not War Hero)
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To: ambrose
OK:
Humphreys 41% v Brad Carson 38%
http://washingtontimes.com/upi-breaking/20031128-031930-3332r.htm




REPUBLICAN PARTY will LOSE IL ........and could lose OK and AK senate seats.....
3 posted on 02/06/2004 7:27:45 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: JohnnyZ; Theodore R.; Nathaniel Fischer; AuH2ORepublican; LdSentinal; Kuksool; Coop; ...
Wow, the game was over before it even began.

4 posted on 02/06/2004 7:28:30 PM PST by Pubbie (We would have the WMDs if Powell and Rice hadn't made a 6 month UN detour)
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To: Pubbie; Torie; JohnnyZ
@
5 posted on 02/06/2004 7:28:39 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: KQQL; PhiKapMom
Well the GOP in general is having a bad path in the polls, and I suspect Carson is better known than Humphreys. Still the poll is a big disappointment. Carson is quite the charmer, and will be difficult to demonize.
6 posted on 02/06/2004 7:33:10 PM PST by Torie
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To: ambrose
While the hell doesn't JC Watts run?

He's probably aiming for governor in '06.

7 posted on 02/06/2004 7:33:44 PM PST by rmmcdaniell
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To: Torie
The national results will count in states like Oklahoma...

An uber-liberal like Kerry can drag down good Democrat candidates, just as Clinton did in 1996 with Ben Nelson in Nebraska.

8 posted on 02/06/2004 7:35:26 PM PST by ambrose (John Kerry is a War Criminal, Not War Hero)
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OK:

Brad Carson(D) 47% v Kirk Humphreys(R) 36%
Consumer Logic Poll - MOE+/- ?(02/04/04)
http://www.kfor.com/Global/story.asp?S=1631801

Kirk Humphreys 41% v Brad Carson 38%
CMA Strategies(R) - MOE+/- 4.3% (11/03)
http://washingtontimes.com/upi-breaking/20031128-031930-3332r.htm
9 posted on 02/06/2004 7:35:46 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: KQQL
Come on, this is with registered voters, sampled 525 Dems and 326 Reps. I don't know what the registration numbers are in OK, but this seems skewed to me.

If these numbers hold up by July, then start worrying. But there hasn't even been a primary yet. Republicans are notorious for holding on to an insurgent candidate and then returning to the fold when the fear of electing a Democrat hits.

You're right about IL, though.

10 posted on 02/06/2004 7:35:53 PM PST by AmishDude
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To: Torie
consumer logic pollster could be Rat pollster, or OK is likes their RAT GOV etc....

OK still has a RAT State house and senate
11 posted on 02/06/2004 7:38:08 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: AmishDude
still why is KIRK 11 points behind....?


JAN/04 HAS been a bad month for the GOP>...


In Ky 06 KERR (R) is behind 10 points in a republican leaning district ?

what gives.......something is up......... could this be a blimp or a trend....??
12 posted on 02/06/2004 7:40:35 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: KQQL
I think the answer is that they grossly overesampled D voters:

525 Dems and 326 Reps.
13 posted on 02/06/2004 7:41:58 PM PST by Pubbie (We would have the WMDs if Powell and Rice hadn't made a 6 month UN detour)
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To: Torie
Well the GOP in general is having a bad path in the polls, and I suspect Carson is better known than Humphreys. Still the poll is a big disappointment. Carson is quite the charmer, and will be difficult to demonize.

This could be due to some questioning Humphrey's conservative credentials. There is a quote somewhere from from Istook in an article a few months back that I cannot find now. In it he predicted that Humphries might not excite voters on account of his attempt to raise taxes in OKC.

Due to the current political situation, conservatives might not be in mood of electing more RINOs.

14 posted on 02/06/2004 7:42:50 PM PST by rmmcdaniell
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To: KQQL
61% polled were Rat. 39% were Republican. Tends to throw the poll into the biased column just a bit.
15 posted on 02/06/2004 7:44:00 PM PST by COEXERJ145
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To: rmmcdaniell; PhiKapMom
No I think they oversampled Democrats in the poll.
16 posted on 02/06/2004 7:44:09 PM PST by Pubbie (We would have the WMDs if Powell and Rice hadn't made a 6 month UN detour)
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To: AmishDude
The registration balance used in the poll is accurate. Oklahoma has more Tory Dems than most any other state in the nation these days. It party is due to the fact that the Tory Dems have not been estranged by a liberal takeover of their party, and there is not a critical mass of ethnic groups to generate an action, reaction, mechanism.
17 posted on 02/06/2004 7:44:43 PM PST by Torie
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To: Pubbie
but in OK , RATS outnumber republicans....
18 posted on 02/06/2004 7:45:20 PM PST by KQQL (@)
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To: JohnnyZ; AuH2ORepublican
We need your expertise on this one guys - is this a Rat Psyops poll or should we be worried?
19 posted on 02/06/2004 7:46:31 PM PST by Pubbie (We would have the WMDs if Powell and Rice hadn't made a 6 month UN detour)
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To: KQQL
"but in OK , RATS outnumber republicans...."

Yes but they didn't include any Independents, and Indy's in OK trend R these days.

I think it is a psyops poll.
20 posted on 02/06/2004 7:47:41 PM PST by Pubbie (We would have the WMDs if Powell and Rice hadn't made a 6 month UN detour)
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