Kerry Maintains Double-Digit Lead in New Hampshire - Leads Dean by 12 points (Gallup January 24)

Gallup News Service ^ | January 24, 2004 | Jeffrey M. Jones

[zencat]

Man, do I ever have poll fatigue.

[MEG33]

Ditto!

[Viet Vet in Augusta GA]

Best thing that could happen for Republicans/Libertairians/conservatives is that Kerry Dean Clark and Edwards go 25-25-25-25 from here on out. The closer, the better, as they will spend all their money and wear each other down fighting amongst themselves. So pray for a close race everywhere, the closer the better.

[Blood of Tyrants]

And better yet is if Dean drops out while he still has a goodly sum of money and goes Green.

[wylenetheconservative]

I don't think he'll go Green. I think all New Hampshire Republicans should be crossing over and VOTING for Dean. Kerry and Edwards are scary in a general election. So is Clark to some degree. Dean is a sure win for us. CROSS OVER AND VOTE FOR DEAN TUESDAY.

[RWR8189]

Gallup Ping

FReepmail me if you want to be on or off the list.

[George W. Bush]

Dean seems to have stopped the bleeding. He may make some steady gains to 25% or more.

I'm not surprised. NH doesn't favor runaway elections. The voters are just too, well, too ornery or something...

It appears that Dean's slowly rising numbers are at the expense of the other candidates, mostly Clark. Kerry is holding his numbers currently.

Other independent polls show Dean's supporters are 68% committed to him, by far the highest. Very high for NH. FNC reports that his rally attendance is up since his three big media appearances (debate, Letterman, Diane Sawyer softball interview).

I'd bet Clark is wishing he'd gone to Iowa. And that Edwards' campaign is wishing they could have skipped New Hampshire but their strong Iowa showing almost compelled them to go hard in NH. Edwards is reported to be taking time away from NH to lay more groundwork for other primaries and that doesn't go over well in NH.

NH, as usual, will give us a few surprises.

Since Iowa, Kerry reports raising over $800,000. Dean reports $750,000. A strong second here by Dean will keep him going for a long time. With the estimated $15 million he has on hand and a lot of other ads in upcoming primary states already prepaid, Dean can stay in about as long as he wants.

A bloody Dim primary to suck all the money out of their activist base is just what I like to see.

[mvpel]

There's still hope for Bush - saw a volunteer out putting up a Dean campaign sign along highway 101 on our way home from a party this evening.

[wylenetheconservative]

CROSS OVER AND VOTE FOR DEAN!

[deport]

CROSS OVER AND VOTE FOR DEAN!

---

cross over from what?

[ChadGore]

[lucidloony]

Republicans in New Hampshire a have great opportunity too screw the dems up royally. CROSS OVER

[mvpel]

I registered to vote as "undeclared" back in November when we arrived in NH, just for the very purpose of voting in the Dem primary.

Count one Dean vote right here.

[lucidloony]

From what I have heard the Republicans can vote in the DemoRAT primary in New Hampshire.

[Born in a Rage]

I'm an Independent in NH so I can vote in the primary. I'm not going to vote, however for someone because they 'may' lose to Bush. I'm going to vote for the most conservative, level-headed one of them all and that's Lieberman. Dean is a close second. I met them both and Lieberman seems the most sincere, jmo.

I'm really very extremely tired of Bush and his spending, spending, spending to tell you the truth.

Clark is scary, something weird is up with him. He's a liar too....

[deport]

Don't think so..... It's a modified Primary which means as I understand it only the Registered party members or the undeclareds can vote in the respective Party's Primary. The undeclareds [independents] must declare to that party when they vote.... or that's my understanding.... In other words registered Dems/Reps must vote in their own party primary but the Ind. can declare at the voting booth on election day. I'm sure someone will correct if I'm in error.

[mvpel]

Nope, that's pretty much how it works.

[Koblenz]

Please cross over and vote Dean!

But Kerry isn't the end of the world for Bush. Kerry has a long history of raising taxes, or at least voting for tax increases. You name the tax, and at some point in his Senate career, he's voted for it. Kerry was Mike Dukakis's Lt. Governor. Paging Willie Horton... Well, the Repubs don't have to bring him up, just let the media do that. Kerry doesn't have the propensity to stay dumb things like Dean, and I still think Dean is the better choice, but if it's Kerry, he's beatable. Edwards is a bigger problem: he's from the south, and has only been a Senator for only 6 years.