To: JohnnyZ; Dog Gone; WOSG
"Nine seconds. That was pretty fast!"
LOL.
To add some more "meat" to my conclusion that Doggett would almost certainly beat Klein, the 2002 GOP performance in the CD was only 30.2%, the lowest of any of the Hispanic-majority districts in the state. One of the reasons why it's so low is that the Austin portion had a 2002 GOP performance of 23.9% due to it being 17.5% black and only 49.5% Hispanic, with the 30.4% Anglo population being composed largely of urban liberals. I think a Hispanic Republican could win upset victories in the 15th, 27th and 28th CDs, and perhaps even in the 16th, 20th or 29th CDs, but the 25th CD is as heavily RAT as the black-plurality 9th CD (the 9th had an identical 30.2% GOP performance in 2002).
On second thought, if Klein can somehow motivate Hispanics to register and vote in greater numbers and can cut into Doggett's support among Austin Hispanics, it is not inconceivable for her to pull off the upset. But I wouldn't bet on it.
7 posted on
01/23/2004 11:59:34 AM PST by
AuH2ORepublican
(Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
To: AuH2ORepublican
This has gotta be our best chance at taking the seat, though. A white Austin liberal unknown in much of the district, George Bush on the ticket, a strong Hispanic Republican, a divisive Democrat primary, and perhaps some crossover endorsements of R.A.K. from prominent Hispanic Rats.
12 posted on
01/23/2004 12:15:48 PM PST by
JohnnyZ
("This is our most desperate hour. Help me Diane Sawyer. You're my only hope." -- Howard Dean)
To: AuH2ORepublican
To add some more "meat" to my conclusion that Doggett would almost certainly beat Klein, the 2002 GOP performance in the CD was only 30.2%, the lowest of any of the Hispanic-majority districts in the state. Given the current public backlash against any "It's-Not-an-Amnesty" Amnesty plan, is it possible to challenge the votes in the district to maybe "Weed out" the massive Illegal voter pad the DemonRATs have?
Is it feasible to maybe cut some of that voter base for Representative Dog$#it?
19 posted on
01/23/2004 2:47:18 PM PST by
Itzlzha
(The avalanche has already started...it is too late for the pebbles to vote!)
To: AuH2ORepublican
How did Gene Green (29th) aviod a Hispanic Primary Challenger?
25 posted on
01/24/2004 8:52:32 AM PST by
Impy
(Are dogcatchers really elected?)
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