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IA caucus - Kerry 38% (winner), Edwards 32%, Dean 18% (97% reporting) (Gephardt drops out)
self

Posted on 01/19/2004 3:21:18 PM PST by calvin sun

FYI it's being carried live on Cspan. They said coverage starts at 7 pm ET, with the actual caucus at 7:30 pm ET.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; alllosers; caucus; dean; drjudithsteinberg; edwardswatch; election; howarddean; iowa; judithsteinberg; steinberg
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To: Pubbie
I predict, Dean by 5% points.

So much for your prognostication skills. Dean peaked a month ago. Now, as to your other prognostication...

(Hillary is not running in 2004 - GET OVER IT People!)

Unless there is a clear winner on the first ballot, she's in.

1,801 posted on 01/19/2004 7:10:28 PM PST by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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To: gitmo
And whats more, Kerry threw someone ELSES medals. No wonder he wasn't proud. Hehehe.
1,802 posted on 01/19/2004 7:10:45 PM PST by Simmy2.5 (Dean...If you want the whole US to be like Gray Davis' California, VOTE FOR ME!)
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To: calvin sun
So now we have the President of the RATS of Iowa, which the cat can't even place on the map, now what?
1,803 posted on 01/19/2004 7:10:48 PM PST by Revolting cat! ("In the end, nothing explains anything!")
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To: BOOTSTICK
Kerry is from a neighboring state of N.H.he will win N.H. easily

Dean is also from a neighboring state. This ain't over yet. And that's a good thing, btw -- the longer the Dems keep on cutting each other up, the better for us.

1,804 posted on 01/19/2004 7:10:58 PM PST by Brandon
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To: gitmo
At last we can talk openly about Kerry's medals.

They weren't even HIS, FGS!
1,805 posted on 01/19/2004 7:10:59 PM PST by Howlin
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To: Lazamataz
It's me.

Laz, your talents are endless.

1,806 posted on 01/19/2004 7:11:02 PM PST by Not A Snowbird (Help...my grounded teenager is holding me hostage... send cookies!)
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To: William McKinley
No, but the data points are too few for this kind of thing to achieve much statistical interest. Kennedy did beat Nixon however, a quasi incumbent. Normally incumbent presidents don't lose historically absent stress, but we have a more divided politics, with fewer swing voters, since the 1876 to 1896 period.
1,807 posted on 01/19/2004 7:11:04 PM PST by Torie
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To: oceanview
I agree - Bush is progressing the lefts agenda much quicker than they could've on their own. If he continues to propose new spending, he could have a very difficult time!
1,808 posted on 01/19/2004 7:11:17 PM PST by al_again
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To: William McKinley
Has a sitting President ever lost to a Senator?

I don't know about a Sitting President ..but JFK was the last Senator elected

1,809 posted on 01/19/2004 7:11:18 PM PST by Mo1 (Join the dollar a day crowd now!)
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To: Poser
So where does this leave all those fabulous endorsements Dean got from Bradley, AlWhore etc..., do they turn tail and jump on the ketchup bandwagon?

This is so fun to watch, and I am so glad it is the dems and not us !!
1,810 posted on 01/19/2004 7:11:25 PM PST by Lanza
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To: Kevin Curry
Oh Mr. Dean is going to come out with a viscious tounge tomorrow, badmouthing the clintons, the process, mcaufille you name it. I predict he fully blows by staurday.
1,811 posted on 01/19/2004 7:11:31 PM PST by TheRedSoxWinThePennant (NOPE STILL NOT OVER IT!!)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE
We are now using Plan 9, repeat Plan 9!!!
1,812 posted on 01/19/2004 7:11:56 PM PST by razorback-bert
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To: Carry_Okie
I predict that whoever is the Dem nominee, Edwards will be the Veep.
1,813 posted on 01/19/2004 7:12:00 PM PST by Poser
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To: StarFan
So... How do you think New Hampshire will go? Our guess:

1. Kerry
2. Dean
3. Edwards

1,814 posted on 01/19/2004 7:12:17 PM PST by nutmeg (Is the DemocRATic party extinct yet?)
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To: Congressman Billybob
Don't want to jump the gun, but for the first time I've actually thought Bush may have to really fight this one out till the end. The whole time I thought it would be Dean, I was not worried. But Rush was right. The power's that be would never let Dean win.
Let's hope Bush is ready to run like crazy.
1,815 posted on 01/19/2004 7:12:24 PM PST by paul544 (3D-Joy OH Boy!!!)
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To: Lanza
I believe that Clinton called coming in second "winning" in NH.
1,816 posted on 01/19/2004 7:12:35 PM PST by maica (Laus Deo)
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To: TheRedSoxWinThePennant
If Dean blows up now, there goes the entertainment for the next few months.
1,817 posted on 01/19/2004 7:12:40 PM PST by Simmy2.5 (Dean...If you want the whole US to be like Gray Davis' California, VOTE FOR ME!)
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To: razorback-bert
Wing Attack, Plan R.
1,818 posted on 01/19/2004 7:12:44 PM PST by wimpycat ("Black holes are where God divided by zero.")
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To: razorback-bert
Why Plan 9.....I thought everyone agreed to Plan 3!
1,819 posted on 01/19/2004 7:12:56 PM PST by goodnesswins (Poverty is more about the "mental" than the "money.")
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To: oceanview
this is going to be a close presidential election, alot of freepers are way too optimistic about it. it will not be a cakewalk.

There is no way to tell at this point.

Bush will have a HUGE advantage in money regardless of who the Dem candidate is.

Some folks say it's to Bush's advantage to be able to coast while the Dems beat each other to a pulp. But the way I see it, the Dem candidate will have had over a year to get sharp and tough.

It's still Bush's election to lose.

1,820 posted on 01/19/2004 7:12:56 PM PST by Kevin Curry
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