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IOWA: Tide of Second Thoughts Rises Among Democrats
NY Times ^ | January 9, 2004 | ADAM NAGOURNEY and CARL HULSE

Posted on 01/09/2004 3:04:15 AM PST by Pharmboy


Mark Kegans for The New York Times
Joe Briggs and his daughter Jenny
in Newton, Iowa. She said she had
been a supporter of Howard Dean
but was having second thoughts.

NEWTON, Iowa, Jan. 8 — Only a few weeks ago, Jenny Briggs, an Iowa State University graduate, was all set to enthusiastically support Howard Dean in the caucuses. But now, with the vote 11 days away, Ms. Briggs said she is having second thoughts as she watches Dr. Dean stumble through his difficult days of the presidential contest.

"I had listened to him on TV, and I thought he sounded pretty good," Ms. Briggs said, standing in the town square in Newton, Iowa. "It turned out he was too good to be true."

She said she grimaced when Dr. Dean, in what she described as an act of arrogance, declared at a debate in Des Moines on Sunday that he would balance the budget "in the sixth or seventh year of my administration," and then looked befuddled when his audience broke out laughing.

"I think Dean has turned a lot of people off by acting cocky," she said.

Ms. Briggs does not appear to be alone.

Democratic leaders in Iowa say that in a contest that is notoriously difficult to measure with polls, Dr. Dean is the dominant candidate, and they are struck by the powerful commitment of his supporters.

Still, in dozens of conversations with voters across central Iowa over the past three days, it became clear that some Democrats are taking a second look at the doctor from Vermont whose candidacy has transformed the Democratic presidential contest.

Such qualms could benefit Senator John Edwards of North Carolina and Senator John Kerry of Massachusetts. Both were often mentioned by voters as strong alternatives to Dr. Dean.

"I don't know why, but there is just something that makes me uncomfortable about Dean," Laura Sims of Webster City said on Thursday.

In Baxter, after a town hall meeting with Representative Richard A. Gephardt, Al Flyer, an I.R.S. agent, said that among Democratic voters, there was a "little bit of mistrust there" toward Dr. Dean.

"It's what you see is not what you get," said Mr. Flyer, who added that he had not decided whom to support.

At the same time, Democrats in the interviews expressed weariness about a campaign that many said had gone on too long and had overwhelmed them with mail and automatic telephone calls. More than a few described the contest as grating in tone and texture. And in an electoral environment where animosity toward President Bush is matched only by the sense that he cannot be defeated, many Democrats expressed concern that the warfare among the candidates was making a hopeless cause all the more hopeless.

Indeed, several Democrats praised Mr. Edwards for largely avoiding the animosity, and said they would reward him with their votes.

"All these attacks on Dean — if Dean is the nominee — are going to come back to haunt us," said Dorraine Schuling of Altoona. Ms. Schuling, a state worker, said she had dropped her support for Dr. Dean and had traveled to east Des Moines to see Mr. Edwards speak.

Sue Nading, 38, standing in an antique shop in Cedar Rapids, likened the candidates to a "swarm of bees."

"Right now they are too busy taking pot shots and saying why they should be considered over this other yahoo," Ms. Nading said. "It is fracturing the party and making Democrats look like we're dervishes."

Given that Dr. Dean has drawn many new Democrats into the process, and given the intensity of his supporters, no one in Iowa is suggesting he is in serious trouble now. Among the campaigns now conducting nightly counts of supporters, there is a rough consensus that Dr. Dean is in front, followed by Mr. Gephardt, with Mr. Kerry and Mr. Edwards fighting it out for third.

In Des Moines, a stronghold for Dr. Dean, Nick Colacino, 80, a retired postal worker, dismissed the attacks on Dr. Dean and said that if anything, they made him more likely to turn out for his candidate.

"He's the favorite and they are trying to bust him down," Mr. Colacino said. "I made up my mind a long time ago that I was going to vote for him."

Yet the concerns voiced in interviews come during a rough month for Dr. Dean: what his own aides have described as political missteps — such as saying that the capture of Saddam Hussein had not made the United States safer — have coincided with a stretch of time when many voters in Iowa are making decisions. Today, the campaign was confronted with an NBC News report about critical statements Dr. Dean made about the Iowa caucus system in a television interview four years ago.

Dr. Dean's advisers have been watching for signs of deterioration in his standing, a difficult thing to measure in Iowa because of the unusual nature of the caucuses, all the more so this year given the number of new voters Dr. Dean has brought into the process.

Polls and the interviews suggest that Mr. Gephardt, with his base of union backers, old-line Iowans and elderly voters, enjoys an unwavering if different field of support.

"I like Gephardt because I think he is a labor man," Wilma Hansen, a retired worker at the Maytag plant, which has its headquarters in Newton, said as she ate at the Maid-Rite diner.

In Baxter, Mr. Flyer said he was considering Mr. Gephardt after hearing Mr. Gephardt speak, though the I.R.S. agent suggested that enthusiasm for the Missouri Democrat was not quite electric.

"No one says anything bad about him," Mr. Flyer said. "He's a strong second."

If Dr. Dean shows signs of polarizing voters — inspiring strong feelings from supporters and detractors — Mr. Edwards and Mr. Kerry appear to be emerging as comfortable alternatives.

"I personally kind of like John Edwards," said Jackie Tierney, 43, a mother of three. "He seems a little more positive and a little bit more friendly and approachable than some of the others."

Mr. Edwards's potential, though, is limited, many Democrats say, by the fact that he does not have the kind of organization needed to win a caucus. By contrast, Mr. Kerry has methodically built an organization that many Democrats say might compensate for what even his supporters concede have been Mr. Kerry's shortcomings as a candidate.

None of the candidates stirred as intense emotions as Dr. Dean did.

"I think he is too radical," David Martin, a retiree in Fort Dodge visiting a home supply store, said on Thursday. "I think if we follow him, our tax bill is going to go way up."

Gai Neurohr, 50, the proprietor of an antique store in Cedar Rapids, said: "The debates showed me I really didn't like Dean. The first one I ever watched, he just got so hot-tempered and I didn't like that."

But several Democrats said they admired the way Dr. Dean had held his own in the face of attacks from rivals at the debate on Sunday, and they said that spoke well to how he might endure a general election campaign against Mr. Bush.

"Dean has weathered his attacks quite well," said Elaine Mattingly, who owns a bookstore in Newton with her husband.

Whether it all matters is another question. In Webster County, some of the voters interviewed were not interested in the Democratic field at all, expressing strong satisfaction with President Bush.

"I am pretty happy with Bush," said Peter Lann, 60, of Fort Dodge, an unemployed cook whose son is serving in the Navy as a salvage diver. "At least he has done something."

Can Mr. Bush be beaten? "That's a real hard question," Mrs. Hansen, the retired Maytag worker, said in Newton. "Because, um, no."

Michael McElroy contributed reporting for this article


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: 2004; democraps; electionpresident; howarddean; iowa; meandean
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Boy, when the Times decides to go after someone, they're unrelenting (but we knew that, didn't we?) They must have gotten their call from the Clintons just about 2 weeks ago.
1 posted on 01/09/2004 3:04:16 AM PST by Pharmboy
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To: All
Rank Location Receipts Donors/Avg Freepers/Avg Monthlies
41 Oklahoma 101.00
5
20.20
199
0.51
126.00
9

Thanks for donating to Free Republic!

Move your locale up the leaderboard!

2 posted on 01/09/2004 3:05:24 AM PST by Support Free Republic (If Woody had gone straight to the police, this would never have happened!)
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To: Pharmboy
Democrats know Nikita Dean hasn't got a prayer. He looks like an angry Jimmy Cartuh - with a scowl instead of a smile along with his sleeves rolled up every time he appears on TV. And its turning people off.
3 posted on 01/09/2004 3:09:21 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop
with his sleeves rolled up every time he appears on TV

Yeah, what's up with that?

We know he's not getting ready to do a load of dishes, so he must be trying to send that "I'm ready to work for YOU!" message or something.

Whattaphony...

4 posted on 01/09/2004 3:20:38 AM PST by hellinahandcart
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To: hellinahandcart
Even some of the hardcore Dem activists openly admit none of these people can beat Bush. Amazing the Times chose to print that..
5 posted on 01/09/2004 3:31:32 AM PST by doosee
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To: Pharmboy
"I like Gephardt because I think he is a labor man," Wilma Hansen, a retired worker at the Maytag plant, which has its headquarters in Newton, said as she ate at the Maid-Rite diner.

Bleech! Loose meat sandwiches. You gotta bring a Dust-Buster along if you eat one of those.

Gephardt, a Labor Man? He's one now, mostly. If the AFL-CIO and their member associations ever cut off his funding, he'll revert to what he was at the beginning of his political career, a not-so Labor Man like his Dad and his brother, both were and are Republicans.

Gephardt likes to tell the story about how his Dad was a Union Man, delivering milk in St. Louis early every morning. Gephardt's brother, on the other hand, tells how his father hated that job and despised the Teamsters Union he was forced to join when he took it. Gephardt's Dad took the Milkman job whilst between gigs and stayed on only long enough (about six months) until he got another job selling real estate and insurance. Gephardt says he recalls his Dad constantly telling his kids how great the Teamsters were, while Gephardt's brother can only recall his Dad complaining about the dues that were sucked out of his paycheck in a closed shop job.

6 posted on 01/09/2004 3:58:31 AM PST by woofer
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To: Pharmboy
Yet the concerns voiced in interviews come during a rough month for Dr. Dean: what his own aides have described as political missteps — such as saying that the capture of Saddam Hussein had not made the United States safer

Is there even a smidgeon of impartiality left at the New York Times? These charlatans are so intent on carrying Shrillary's water, that they "stoop" to charging Dean with saying the same things they themselves babbled during the leadup to the Iraqi war.

There are no principles nor consistent philosophies guiding the Left. It is all just naked Machiavellian strategy and ruses to scarf power, any way they can get it.

7 posted on 01/09/2004 4:24:22 AM PST by ctonious
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To: Pharmboy
IOWA = 7 electoral votes
New Hamshire = 4 electoral votes


These few votes have infected the country with a huge wave of air pollution from 9 pimps of the election industry. And NO ONE GETS ELECTED TO ANY OFFICE FROM THE PROCESS!

The choice of a candidate for the General Election (where bodies are selected for office) from each political party is a private matter! Thus far, the PRESIDENTAIL ELECTION FUND (i.e., the 1040 check-off) has disbursed over $28 million tax payer dollars for this election cycle! The expectation is that more than $250 million will be taken from the tax payers throught the 2004 election.

It is also important to note that ONLY 11% of the tax payers opted to contribute to this fund. That is why the Congress is starting to discuss raising the check-off again as they did in 1993 ($1 to $3). How much will they raise it to this time, $5, $10, $100?

The tax payer participation has decreased every year since the inception of the program, from a high of 28% to the present 11%. This is insanity and why doesn't the media discuss this? Probably because they (the media) are the recipients of the bulk of the money!
8 posted on 01/09/2004 4:38:11 AM PST by leprechaun9
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To: Pharmboy
Hadn't thought about this. How sick are Dems gonna be of election politics by Nov?
9 posted on 01/09/2004 4:51:31 AM PST by I_dmc
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To: Pharmboy
Ms. Nading said. "It is fracturing the party and making Democrats look like we're dervishes."

Interesting choice of words...the dictionary definition of "dervish" is:

1. A member of any of various Muslim ascetic orders, some of which perform whirling dances and vigorous chanting as acts of ecstatic devotion.

2. One that possesses abundant, often frenzied energy: “ [She] is a dervish of unfocused energy, an accident about to happen” (Jane Gross).

10 posted on 01/09/2004 5:01:27 AM PST by shteebo
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To: doosee
Even some of the hardcore Dem activists openly admit none of these people can beat Bush. Amazing the Times chose to print that..

Not at all surprising. All they're doing is setting up Hillary as the "Joan of Arc" who can save the Democrat Party from itself. It's all in the plan.

11 posted on 01/09/2004 5:03:20 AM PST by Leroy S. Mort
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To: Pharmboy
Looks like the Times is doing their part to push Dean aside for the Clinton candidate (Clark) as they dutifully sow seeds of doubt about his candidacy.

The Clinton plan is being executed a little more openly now.

This is getting interesting.

12 posted on 01/09/2004 5:04:07 AM PST by capt. norm (BEER It's not just for breakfast anymore.)
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To: Leroy S. Mort
I don't think so in 2004. The last thing Hillary wants is to run and lose. She'd much rather run against an "untested" opponent in 2008. I believe Gore is thinking about 2008 too. It would be fascinating to watch Hillary and Gore try to cut each other to ribbons while declaring their "mutual respect".
13 posted on 01/09/2004 5:08:50 AM PST by shteebo
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To: shteebo
They hate each other's guts. They endorsed different candidates and both want to control the party. In the end one of the going to come out the winner.
14 posted on 01/09/2004 5:12:08 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: Pharmboy
Hmm. Doesn't it bother anyone that he's crazy?
15 posted on 01/09/2004 5:16:05 AM PST by TomHarkinIsNotFromIowa (Foe Hammer!)
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To: shteebo; Pharmboy
The dervishes wish to register a complaint . . .


16 posted on 01/09/2004 5:22:44 AM PST by AnAmericanMother (. . . sed, ut scis, quis homines huiusmodi intellegere potest?. . .)
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To: woofer
Thanks for that interesting info on Gephardt...how come Dan Rather hasn't reported this? (snicker)
17 posted on 01/09/2004 5:23:09 AM PST by Pharmboy (History's greatest agent for freedom: The US Armed Forces)
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To: ctonious
Is there even a smidgeon of impartiality left at the New York Times? These charlatans are so intent on carrying Shrillary's water, that they "stoop" to charging Dean with saying the same things they themselves babbled during the leadup to the Iraqi war.

Excellent point. They are TRULY shameless.

18 posted on 01/09/2004 5:24:43 AM PST by Pharmboy (History's greatest agent for freedom: The US Armed Forces)
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To: shteebo
The last thing Hillary wants is to run and lose.

That was my thinking too, until I saw the polls showing Rudy Guiliani leading her already for the NY Senate run in '06. She may figure what the hell, retaining control of the national party apparatus and at least making a strong showing in '04 is better than running as a defeated Senator in '08.

19 posted on 01/09/2004 5:29:23 AM PST by Leroy S. Mort
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To: Pharmboy
Gee, doesn't it make you sad? CLintons are bad people, but they are just swindlers, waghalters and duplicitous cheats. Howard Dean is a nut-case. He really remains a true believer in The Gospel According to Saint Marx.

He really thinks the US should have a single-payer health care system and that The Sherman Anti-Trust Act is a legitimate way to take down media organizations that oppose his point of view. His willingness to threaten non-compliant media outlets with Anti-Trust litigation, based on their ideological beliefs, is what I think made so many newspapers turn on him.
20 posted on 01/09/2004 7:15:51 AM PST by .cnI redruM (Jimmy Carter IS The Mouth of Sauron...)
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