[CWOJackson]

"Gephardt Is The Closest Candidate"

That has to terrify "thoughtful" democrats.

[PSYCHO-FREEP]

I could have told you that!

Let's watch and enjoy the severe anguish from DU and the TIN FOIL Brigade as they are so justifiably proven wrong!

[glockmeister40]

If "eyebrows" gephardt loses Iowa, he's toast. Go Dean!

If Dean is the democratic candidate for president, I predict Bush will get 530+ electorial college votes.

[RatSlayer]

In 2000 the results for Iowa as listed at (http://www.fec.gov/pubrec/fe2000/2000presge.htm#IA):

IOWA

Gore, Al D 638,517
48.54

Bush, George W. R 634,373
48.22

Nader, Ralph IG 29,374
2.23

Buchanan, Pat REF 5,731
0.44

Browne, Harry LBT-IA 3,209
0.24

Hagelin, John N 2,281
0.17

Scattered W 1,168
0.09

Phillips, Howard CON 613
0.05

Harris, James SWP 190
0.01

McReynolds, David SOC 107
0.01

Total State Votes:
1,315,563



If Bush flips a few of the states that went narrowly to Gore, he will win easily.

[Tall_Texan]

This is no big worry for the Dirtycrats. Surely Dung Heap Harkin and the boys can round up thousands of dead, illegal, homeless and imprisoned Democrats who were not polled by Survey USA.

[southernnorthcarolina]

The upper Mississippi Valley, including eastern Iowa, southeastern Minnesota, and western Wisconsin, trended strongly Democratic in the 1970s and 80s, and became possibly the most liberal overwhelmingly white rural/small-town area in the nation. Here's what the 2000 race looked like (NOTE: on this map, from Dave Leip's U.S. Elections Atlas, red is Dem, and blue is GOP, the reverse of what is most often seen.) The darker the shade of red or blue, the greater the margin of the respective party.

Eastern (especially southeastern) Iowa, plus the Des Moines area in the center of the state, are the Dems' strongest areas, as the map shows. There are signs that these Dem areas are slowly trending back to the right; Dukakis carried Iowa by 10%+ in 1988, but it was almost a tossup in 2000. Perhaps the polls are picking up a continuation of the trend. Or perhaps the folks in Iowa are just really tired of all the Dems who've been hanging out in their state for months.

[upchuck]

Mister Bush? That's almost an insult! How 'bout President Bush?

Hell, plain ole' Bush would be better than Mister Bush.

[Tennessean4Bush]

This is amazing given tht all they have heard for months over and over again are Democrat attack ads on Bush.

Wonder if Bush is planning on doing some of his own ads in Iowa in the coming weeks?

[LS]

This is one of the four states Bush lost by less than 30,000 total votes that I think are a "done deal" for 04, giving him 300 EV just to start.

[Prodigal Son]

Democrats? They're like the Greens or something aren't they?

[Cicero]

hillary's original plan was that Dean would win New Hampshire, Gephardt would win Iowa, and Edwards would win South Carolina. The idea was that there should be no front runner going into the convention, and the early thinking was that Ketchup Kerry was the most dangerous threat.

They will continue to knock Dean in the media, in hopes that Gephardt can still edge him out in Iowa.

[RatSlayer]

BTTT

[Kay Soze]

Bush Leads All Democrats.

Yes he does.