[FairOpinion]

I think the current threat is by far the highest probability since 9-11-01.

Here is some key info:

"In September, the government raised the bar for changing the threat level, saying it would only elevate the status if there was specific and credible information about an attack."

If they raised the bar, that means that now they do have strong specific information, maybe based on the old definition we would be at red alert.

http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2003/12/22/TERROR.TMP

[oceanview]

I agree, but also consider that the motivation of the enemy to pump false "chatter" into the intel stream is at its highest now given the recent successes for the US. so it cuts both ways. let's see what kind of stories surface over the next couple of days.

[JustPiper]

I heard this also and how Bush hesitated strongly issuing in this alert due to the "Cry Wolf" syndrome we went through. Idiot George Tenet suggested raising it two weeks ago (for once I agreed with him) and we all know it would not be raised without substantial proof to the President and his Threat Matrix advisors.