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Analysis: Al-Qaida's mistake
United Press International ^ | 11-20-03 | CLAUDE SALHANI, UPI International Editor

Posted on 11/20/2003 12:50:23 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer

WASHINGTON, Nov 20, 2003 (United Press International via COMTEX) -- Istanbul, Turkey's major city on the Bosphorous, was struck for the second time in less than a week by a devastating twin car bomb attack that killed at least 27 people and wounded nearly 450 others. Moments later, an unidentified caller to the Anatolian News Agency claimed responsibility on behalf of Osama bin Laden's terrorist network.

Indeed, two groups -- al-Qaida and the Islamic Brotherhood -- claimed responsibility for Thursday's devastating attacks.

There is little doubt the second Istanbul bombings that targeted the British Consulate and a British bank in the city's commercial center, carried the hallmark of al-Qaida: simultaneous bombings, carefully planned to detonate just moments apart and planned to cause the greatest casualties possible. The group's deadly modus operandi is already all-too familiar.

A warning from the perpetrators of the previous attacks on the two synagogues last Saturday had warned of further terror action. Thursday's horrific bombings demonstrates that the terrorists were not bluffing.

"We will continue to attack Masonic targets ... The Muslims are not alone," warned a Turkish speaking man to a domestic news agency. And on Thursday, they struck again.

However, in selecting Turkey as their new battleground, al-Qaida, or their Turkish affiliates, may have committed a monumental tactical mistake by picking a fight they may well regret. Unlike most Western European countries and the United States, Turkey has a long history of dealing with homegrown terrorism and has always gone about it with a successful, though somewhat, heavy hand. And those tactics have yielded positive results.

Turkey has had to deal with terrorist activity emanating from its Marxist-Leninist extreme left, Kurdish separatists and Armenian nationalists. And in all instances they have managed to ferret out and cause severe harm to those who have tried to undermine the Turkish state.

"We will not bow to terrorism," Foreign Minister and Deputy Prime Minister Abdullah Gul told reporters shortly after the double-explosions. Similarly, Gul's warning should not be brushed off as empty words, either. Turkey will now embark on an unrelenting hunt to track down those involved in this latest wave of terrorism and bring them and those behind it to justice -- one way or another.

While mainly an overwhelming Muslim country -- 99.8 percent -- Turkey has a secular constitution, which even the current Islam-rooted government of Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is keen on maintaining.

The country's powerful military has often clashed with the religious and political establishments since the modern state was created from the remnants of the Ottoman Empire in 1923, in efforts to avoid letting the country slip too far to the left or to the religious right. Twice, in the country's relatively recent history, the military - which regards itself as the guardian of Mustafa Kemal, or Ataturk's, modern Turkey -- have staged coups when terrorism or politicians allowed the situation to get out of hand.

Today, Turkey's politicians realize only too well the short leash their military allows them when it comes to dealing with extremism, and without a doubt, Erdogan will aggressively address this new threat that has manifested itself. Turkish authorities have already identified the perpetrators of last Saturday's attacks that killed 23 and wounded 302, as originating from the eastern province of Bingol, where, according to some reports, the Turkish Hezbollah group has been active.

The terror war declared by the Islamic fundamentalists on secular Turkey, much as those waged by other extremists groups before it, will motivate the Turks all the more to eradiate this new threat. Erdogan, speaking only hours after Thursday's attacks vowed that the culprits would be found soon, "Just like we have done in the synagogue incidents," said the prime minister.

One thing that is certain now, is that the gloves will come off.


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; Israel; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: alqaeda; alqaida; arab; arabs; binladen; islam; islamists; istanbul; jihad; ramadan; ramadan2003; terrorism; turkey; turkeytrouble
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1 posted on 11/20/2003 12:50:24 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Lessons in history, don't piss off the Turks.
2 posted on 11/20/2003 12:53:03 PM PST by U S Army EOD (When the EOD technician screws up, he is always the first to notice.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
"... a devastating twin car bomb attack that killed at least 27 people and wounded nearly 450 others."

And that's what Turkey gets after refusing to let us invade Iraq through their country.

The wages of appeasement.

3 posted on 11/20/2003 12:55:09 PM PST by Bonaparte
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
"Masonic targets?" Man, everybody hates the Masons, huh?

}:-)4
4 posted on 11/20/2003 12:55:16 PM PST by Moose4 ("The road goes on forever, and the party never ends." --Robert Earl Keen)
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To: Coop; Angelus Errare
fyi...
5 posted on 11/20/2003 1:08:15 PM PST by Dog
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
"...on behalf of Osama bin Laden's terrorist network..."

Is that like CBS, NBC, or ABC?

6 posted on 11/20/2003 1:09:07 PM PST by Cobra64 (Babes should wear Bullet Bras - www.BulletBras.net)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
in efforts to avoid letting the country slip too far to the left or to the religious right.

Clever how that ding against religion just snuck in there.

Shalom.

7 posted on 11/20/2003 1:11:51 PM PST by ArGee (Scientific reasoning makes it easier to support gross immorality.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Lesson number two: when you have a language and cultural advantage that prevents your opponent from gathering intelligence, don't piss off your own kind.
8 posted on 11/20/2003 1:15:19 PM PST by js1138
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To: U S Army EOD
When I was stationed in San Diego a Turk ship requested permission of SOPA to "hang a sailor from the yardarm". SOPA thought it was a joke but responded that permission was denied. The Turks then got underway and when they hit the three mile limit, stopped and strung him up in sight of shore.

Nice object lesson.
9 posted on 11/20/2003 1:24:51 PM PST by KeyWest
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To: Moose4
> Masons

Uh oh. This thread has not long to live ...
10 posted on 11/20/2003 1:34:21 PM PST by old-ager
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
"We will continue to attack Masonic targets ... The Muslims are not alone," warned a Turkish speaking man to a domestic news agency. And on Thursday, they struck again.

Can someone explain this statement?

11 posted on 11/20/2003 2:20:06 PM PST by pgkdan
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To: pgkdan
Must have been black balled in the blue lodge.
12 posted on 11/20/2003 2:25:53 PM PST by ImpBill ("America ... Where are you now?")
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To: old-ager
I dunno about this. If Al Qaeda's purpose is to disrupt the region, they could hardly do better than to piss off the Turks bad enough that they'll pile into the fight. The Turks might take advantage of the situation to fight the Kurds, who are very much on our side. They might use the attacks as an excuse to take over some of Iraq that they have long disputed.
13 posted on 11/20/2003 2:25:55 PM PST by MoralSense
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
We will continue to attack Masonic targets

What? The Freemasons? The Knights Templar? Whatever they have, even double-wrapped aluminum hats probably won't do the job.

14 posted on 11/20/2003 2:29:21 PM PST by RightWhale (Close your tag lines)
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To: U S Army EOD
Their JUSTICE is swift and leathal as a matter of course! Something WE could learn from in this TIME OF WAR.
15 posted on 11/20/2003 2:32:55 PM PST by PISANO (God Bless our Troops........They will not TIRE-They will not falter-They will NOT FAIL)
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To: U S Army EOD
Their JUSTICE is swift and leathal as a matter of course! Something WE could learn from in this TIME OF WAR.
16 posted on 11/20/2003 2:32:56 PM PST by PISANO (God Bless our Troops........They will not TIRE-They will not falter-They will NOT FAIL)
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To: MoralSense
"They might use the attacks as an excuse to take over some of Iraq that they have long disputed."

More likely, the Turks will use the attacks as an excuse to beat the crap (or worse) out of every terrorist they can lay their hands on.

17 posted on 11/20/2003 2:35:09 PM PST by okie01 (www.ArmorforCongress.com...because Congress isn't for the morally halt and the mentally lame.)
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To: RightWhale
Maybe it has something to do with the crusades? It make you wonder though.
18 posted on 11/20/2003 2:38:23 PM PST by tiki
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To: okie01
That wouldn't be a bad thing now would it.

L

19 posted on 11/20/2003 2:41:06 PM PST by Lurker (Some people say you shouldn't kick a man when he's down. I say there's no better time to do it.)
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To: PISANO
There's an echo in here...
20 posted on 11/20/2003 2:42:31 PM PST by Snardius
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