[Kuksool]

If Pat Toomey wins the GOP primary, I'd rate the open Senate as a toss-up. Western PA is filled with blue collar, Catholic Democrats who are pro-life and pro-gun (Bob Casey Democrats). If Toomey can find a way to appeal to the Casey Democrats, then he has a very good chance of winning the Senate race.

[AuH2ORepublican]

"If Pat Toomey wins the GOP primary, I'd rate the open Senate as a toss-up."

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Hoeffel won't beat Toomey. Hoeffel's too much of a social liberal, and his gun-grabbing ways are anathema to the blue-collar Democrats who comprise the heart of the party outside of the Philly area. If Toomey beats Arlen in the primary (as I pray that he does, and already sent him money to try to get it done), he should win with between 52%-55% of the vote.