[lasereye]

I heard Mark Davis, a conservative talk show host, cite the Allard-Strickland poll today. I don't know what kind of campaign themes Allard is running, but I wouldn't exactly be suprised if it's the same as a couple of other GOP campaigns - Coleman and Talent, i.e., denying he's going to "privatize" social security and talking about drug benefits. This is a sign of a campaign on the defensive, fighting it out on Democrat territory, and therefore losing.

If Allard, Hutchinson and Talent all lose, the GOP has to make a clean sweep of all the other close races just to get to 50 seats and be tormented for the next 2 years by Chafee threatening to bolt.

[Dianna]

If Allard, Hutchinson and Talent all lose, the GOP has to make a clean sweep of all the other close races just to get to 50 seats and be tormented for the next 2 years by Chafee threatening to bolt.

I've been looking for polls on the Ken Lucas/Geoff Davis race (Kentucky 4th district, I think). This is my local race and I've not heard or even seen one word about it.

Basically, I was wondering if Davis has a chance...Lucas was last re-elected with 54%.

[Coop]

If Allard, Hutchinson and Talent all lose, the GOP has to make a clean sweep of all the other close races just to get to 50 seats and be tormented for the next 2 years by Chafee threatening to bolt.

I'm not sure what you're saying. Should that occur, the GOP would lose two seats. Then they'd need MN and NJ (both reasonable shots) while holding on to NH to be even. Then the GOP would need to win IA, GA, MT or LA to get back the "majority."