[BlackRazor]

The Cook Political Report moved this race from Likely GOP to Leans GOP in early August. Now, this GOP poll confirms the race has tightened. I'm a bit concerned about this one. I didn't really expect it to be in play, but when Hensarling's own polling shows it so close, I guess it's time to take notice!

There's a bunch of other good information at this link: A GOP poll showing Tim Hutchinson with a 3-point lead; a Dem poll showing Ron Kirk with a 5-point lead over John Cornyn; and an independent poll showing Anne Northrup (R) with a 10-point lead in KY-05. That last one, in particular, is good news!

[BlackRazor]

Flag - see my comments in Post 1.

[BlackRazor]

Correction: I meant to say KY-03 in Post 1.

[jf55510]

a Dem poll showing Ron Kirk with a 5-point lead over John Cornyn;

Well I guess the Dims did not like the two independent polls that showed General Cornyn up 5 and 6 points.

[conservative_2001]

I had started noticing Texas-05 a little while back. A dated Democratic poll had Chapman up by 5 or 6, now a Republican poll has Hensarling up by 6. So in reality they're probably running about even right now. We should win this one, but can't take it for granted.

I expected that the national parties would show Kirk and Hutchinson with leads. The last two polls had showed Cornyn picking up momentum; 1 of them was even a Democratic poll. And the last independent poll showed Hutchinson down 10, although it's hard to believe. So what do you know, the national parties released polls showing their man in the lead. Not surprising.

Northup is always in a tough race. Her district is actually Democratic, she's just been able to overcome it. She'll never have a cakewalk. She's always been a great fundraiser and that's been her savior. This time she faces a tough opponent. He's raised a lot of money himself and had very good favorable/unfavorable numbers in that poll. With leaners factored in, IMO a more reliable number, Northup leads 51-38%. I'm guessing she'll win with a typical 53-54% of the vote.

[pbranham]

If we lose this seat, Pete Sessions is to blame.

He could have stayed and kept this seat(TX-5) safely in our hands. However, he chose to move to the new(TX-32) Plano district which is so heavily Republican that he would never have to run a campaign again.

Don't get me wrong - Sessions is definitely one of the good guys in Congress - a true Conservative. On this point, however, he needs to be chided for putting his personal interests ahead of the Conservative Cause.

[lasereye]

a Dem poll showing Ron Kirk with a 5-point lead over John Cornyn;

I thought Cornyn had about a 5 point lead. Since it's a Dem poll, if you subtract 5 points that makes them only tied.