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Nate Silver said he didn't want "herding" and so this is what you get, Copeholic Kamalacrats. You get Trump leading Kamala Harris outside the margin of error in the Keystone State.

Poll taken VERY recently, capturing all the last minute momentum for Trump.

Biden actually led Trump in Echelon's NetChoice sponsored poll of Pennsylvania post-debate, Biden +2 full field and Biden +1 head-to-head.

Not exactly a pollster who you should dismiss, Dems.

538 pollster rating: 2.8/3.0. WOW.

Now you are deeper in your doom spiral.

1 posted on 10/31/2024 2:19:04 PM PDT by kellymcneill
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To: kellymcneill

Early voting ties with those numbers.

Imho they are accurate.

(I came up with Trump +5 based on early voting so far.)


2 posted on 10/31/2024 2:20:37 PM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: kellymcneill

Let us pray.


3 posted on 10/31/2024 2:29:21 PM PDT by Williams (Let's Focus On Electing President Trump)
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To: kellymcneill

WOW indeed.


6 posted on 10/31/2024 2:33:17 PM PDT by SharpRightTurn (“Giving money & power to government is like giving whiskey & car keys to teenage boys” P.J. O’Rourke)
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To: kellymcneill

Some dumbass TV station has already called Pennsylvania for the Jamaicaho/Injun. I knew that was going to happen once the fag politicians legalized drugs and the slow and ignorant started using them.


12 posted on 10/31/2024 2:36:53 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The Walz/Harriz RAT platform: Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, Hitler, Garbage, Garbage, Garbage, Garbage.)
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To: kellymcneill

ECHELON IS RANKED 23 ON FIVETHIRTYEIGHT

Say what you want about the founder, but they rank Hundreds and from what I’ve seen, they’re good at ranking.

23 is VERY GOOD.

How the hell did there get to be hundreds of pollsters :)

BTW, when one shows harris up big...it’s ALWAYS below number 50 and sometimes like 200 :)


20 posted on 10/31/2024 2:45:04 PM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: kellymcneill

how can you people believe any news at all these days. I mean I am no rhodes scholar but I do have a memory and it reminds me, since when, after the fact, has any poll been been worth a red cent?...

I constantly see posts on polls and it boggles the mind...


21 posted on 10/31/2024 2:46:42 PM PDT by sit-rep
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To: kellymcneill

And Lake is up in Arizona:

🟥 Lake: 48.6% (+0.7)
🟦 Gallego: 47.9%
🟪 Other: 1.4%

And, latest polling (by Atlas Polling) shows Lake up by +1. Fox Polling had Gallego ahead by 13 points just four weeks ago and hasn’t done a Arizona Senate race poll since (that I can find). And we all know how Fox feels about Arizona. I’m surprised they haven’t yet called the race for Gallego.

I knew pollsters were trying to suppress Lake’s support and would have to start doing a little honest polling the final couple of days before the election so they could sell themselves as accurate in order to used again in the next election cycle.


23 posted on 10/31/2024 2:50:51 PM PDT by CFW
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To: kellymcneill

Never mind the polls - we all need to show up and vote for Trump. We can’t count on others to get him elected for us. Anyone who can vote early, should - bank your vote for Trump now.


25 posted on 10/31/2024 2:55:13 PM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: kellymcneill
Re: "Shock Poll In PA"

I think the gamblers on Polymarket would agree.

Pennsylvania has been the strongest gambler Swing State among PA-MI-WI since I started checking Polymarket a couple months ago.

Today, PA dropped below 60%-40% (to 59%-41%) for the first time in about one month, but still well in front of WI and MI.

Trump is now behind in MI: 54%-46% (Gambler odds)

35 posted on 10/31/2024 3:09:49 PM PDT by zeestephen (Trump "Lost" By 43,000 Votes - Spread Across Three States - GA, WI, AZ)
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To: kellymcneill

So much energy for Trump in 2024. He’s becoming beloved among the majority of Americans, not just his traditional base.


42 posted on 10/31/2024 3:25:09 PM PDT by MuttTheHoople ( "Never thot I'd live to see the day when the right wing would become the cool ones"-Johnny Rotten)
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To: kellymcneill
Echelon Insights

Other than being a "well-thought of" poll. I wonder what their past accuracy has been.
46 posted on 10/31/2024 3:51:27 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: kellymcneill

Anyone have data on accurate these polls have been in past elections ?


61 posted on 10/31/2024 5:37:39 PM PDT by HereInTheHeartland (Have you seen Joe Biden's picture on a milk carton?)
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To: kellymcneill
I just posted this in another thread:


This poll has an interesting demographic model:

Party ID:

Region:

I didn't think that Pennsylvania voted like an R+4 state.


-PJ

64 posted on 10/31/2024 6:16:35 PM PDT by Political Junkie Too ( * LAAP = Left-wing Activist Agitprop Press (formerly known as the MSM))
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To: kellymcneill

never heard of them
538 leftist Nate Silverberg isn’t trustworthy but good with stats.


73 posted on 11/01/2024 8:27:42 AM PDT by CarolinaReaganFan
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