Are there any liberal cause referendums on the ballot? If not, Trump stands a better chance.
The NM constitution doesn't allow for citizen referendums. There are two constitutional amendments, put on the ballot by the Democratic controlled legislature.
The one to defeat would change membership on the Public Regulation Commission from elected positions to appointment by the governor. The Dems voted that one through for general election approval, because the current PRC opposed some of the RadDem governor's effort to transition to AOC's green new deal. Everyone here in the oil patch know that she would appoint radical environmental progressives to the commission so voters will vote NO on it.
There are two Republican judges up for election to NM Supreme Court and three for the appellate courts, and there have been good TV spots tying the current Dem judges to the governor and pushing for their election to change that.