Most accurate model predicts..who wins in 2020

Moody's Analytics

[entropy12]

Unemployment is not the critical factor. Because currently ALL of them are receiving $600/week EXTRA over and above their regular unemployment amount. Many are getting more money than their full time paychecks.

What will be critical is corporate financials. Stock market depends more on that than unemployment numbers. And majority of people have some stake in stock market via 401-K’s. If those look good, voters will not want to change the driver.

But can’t argue that covid-19 has thrown a big monkey wrench in this election.

[icclearly]

"If Americans are so naive, then yes, Trump will lose."

Well, they are worse than naive (much, much worse).  They are bat sh*@#t crazy!

See the crazy white people supporting the BLM in the picture below (exercising their white privilege). Not a black face in the crowd.

Think what our country has been through since Trump was elected.  It has been monumental.  The last three months have been absolutely over-the-top insane!

All of this was laid out in VERY CLEARLY over 20 years ago in the book called The Fourth Turning.  If you have 45 seconds to spare listen to the first 45 seconds of the C-SPAN video below interviewing the authors of the book in 1997.

Two generations of our society have been through indoctrination at all levels of their education and supported by practically every form of media known to man and it is not a pretty sight. That's all they've been fed their entire life! Their minds are warped beyond repair.  So, yes, they are so much more than naive -- they are dangerous to our survival. By the way, they get to vote!

This is the beginning -- not the end.
 

---

These Are George Floyd Protesters

Click on image to read the story from the Federalist June 4, 2020

We Knew This Was Coming Over 20 Years Ago

 

The Authors of The Fourth Turning Explain It All On C-SPAN In A Very Straightforward Way In 1997 - There is more to come

 

Listen For The First 45 Seconds

Click on the image to listen

[9YearLurker]

Nope. You are so wrong. That $600 over ends in 6 weeks. Then millions will all be getting less than what they used to get paid. And corporate financials as translated to the stock market only really affect the already comfortable top 5th of Americans.

[icclearly]

“Nope. You are so wrong. That $600 over ends in 6 weeks.”

Do you honestly think congress will not extend more free money — in an election year?

[entropy12]

There is already talk of extending it, and ANOTHER stimulus check coming. Plus health insurance is waiving deductibles, one can not be evicted for non-payment of rent or mortgage, and other sundry benefits attributed to the pandemic.

I was at Lowe’s yesterday, parking lot was jam packed, store was very busy inside.

[9YearLurker]

Latest I have heard is $2T to manufacturing companies and nuttin’ more for Joe Unemployed.

[9YearLurker]

Talk is nothing. Employers have the Trump admin’s ear and they are livid that some of their employees are getting paid more to stay away. Supposedly those unwilling to go back can be shut off from unemployment altogether, but instead they can just cry “unsafe”. That will lead to millions not being invited to go back left in tough shape.

Don’t get me wrong, I tjink a legit election could very well still come down in Trump’s favor—which is why I think his opponents will unleash whatever next iteration of unrest and pandemic required to thwart in-person voting. But thw idea that the economy is gonna be cruising by November is insane.

[arthurus]

This time around I suspect a Republican majority statewide in any state will be countered by big city vote addition no matter how large. The Democrats know that once the count is officially in no matter if the city count shows 200k more Democrats than there living persons in the city, the Republicans will just say, “Oh well. Better luck next time.” and nothing will be challenged. Meantime the Democrats will be challenging any Republican majority anywhere, and of course, moving to invalidate the mililtary vote.

[TBP]

President Trump will win.