Pretty soon the estimate will be lower than the deaths that already occurred :)
UNEXPECTED/sarc
the media is going to need to impeach trump if more people don’t die!
Everytime they they do this: the day for opening should be automatically moved up.
Its because those things aren't there after all.
The disease is dangerous to the elderly and people who have underlying conditions they may not realize they had. Early international travel restrictions, hydroxychloroquine regimens, and the measures we have already taken will prevent this from killing as many people as the 2017 flu season.
Where’s Hockey Stick McGee and his humongous cartoons criticizing those of us who never “ bought in “ ????
Whitehouse model?
This is NOT a Whitehouse model.
Where are the whiners condemning this?
Pity that Vegas is shut down. They could do bets on what the final number will be.
Guessing less than 50,000.
well the experts are now within hailing distance of my (one guy, no money, no medical models, no millions of dollars, hundreds of bureaucrats, etc.) simple static estimate of 45,990 additional deaths due to covid based on comorbidity from a couple of weeks back on worldometers and the most recent tallys of cause of deaths from the cdc.
Dems hit hardest by the latest news.
Good.
Given the catastrophic inaccuracy of such models, everyone will have to revise the junk-science models used for Gore Bull Warming as well.
The pandemic models are at least based on an actual disease going on tight now. The “climate cretins” rely on inferred, fudged, and made-up data to mortgage everyone’s future.
Assuming that the original model assumed no social distancing/quarantine, I would expect the estimates to come down.
That said, I have no idea if the models did or didn’t assume quarantining.
Regardless, I’m curious to see the original projections. Does anyone have a “Day One” screen shot or data point?
Can we fire the FakeDocs for their dependence on a faulty model??
University of Washington dropped its estimated death projection on Sunday for the first wave of the pandemic to 81,766 deaths, down from 93,531
GTFOH
It won’t be anything near that unless they keep counting until Auguust and cooking the numbers
In Minnesota, the Governor (a Democrat) and the department of health have IMHO, said during press conferences that they are pursuing a worst case scenario in which the peak will not hit us until July.
The death estimate is for deaths that will happen by August 4, 2020. What happens after that?
These models are about as accurate as the fake media polls leading up to an election
They make a prediction, and then as time goes on keep changing the prediction to match reality.
That sounds like what the weatherman does every day.
Did their hockey stick model break again?