Posted on 09/05/2019 9:19:31 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Amen. ‘Nuff said.
He is correct.
Take nothing for granted! VOTE!
I am happy if he holds wisconsin
Hope so, and true, I think, if the election were held today, but 14 months is a long, long way away in politics.
I watched most of that CNN climate thing last night... those people are nuts. Unless someone new enters on the Democrat side, we’ve got the win.
Look who the Democrats got lined up as competition. Their problem is they have to run someone in particular and all these someones are in the particularly-bad and easily-demolished buckets.
- Biden: suffering from progressive dementia, won’t be in shape to run by the general, and his primary distinguishing feature is sticking the foot he shot himself into his own mouth. Plus there’s that Ukraine thing coming out...
- Sanders: doesn’t have half the following he had last time, for a lot of reasons. Low charisma, can’t dodge the socialist label, and many other liabilities.
- Warren: Trump will beat her over the head with her fraudulent misrepresentation of herself as native in order to advance her career. Plus, she’s weak and inauthentic.
- Harris: Making subtle oral sex innuendos will reduce her to a total laughingstock by Nov 2020.
- Buttman: Getting lectured to about God by an open homosexual will wear real thin real fast, and he will present massive internal unity issues above and beyond the existing ones since all the Dems’ ethnic factions hate homos, especially well-off ones who represent the worst of “white privilege”. If the best they got to offer is a mayor of a town of 100k in a state that they haven’t much chance to win, that party is all but finished as a going concern.
- Convention-time switch to Michelle Obama: She (he?) has zero experience running for office and is ugly as sin and won’t play well on TV. Plus the country is sick of the Obamas, that’s why we elected Trump. Newest generation of voters will remember her (him?) as the champion of the most egregiously nauseating and insulting school lunch program ever devised.
- Convention-time switch to Hillary Clinton: will go no better than the last time. The perpetual train of scandals will come right back into the public eye and remind everyone why they were sick of her to begin with.
Bottom line - Dems have no shot to beat Trump, unless they are able to cheat on an unprecedented scale.
Agree-We know the dems have a candidate that will energize them to vote his name is Trump-they will vote and cheat so we need a good economy (get deal with China and interest rate cut) and take nothing for granted
Hispanics who accounted for over half of all US poplulation growth and vote 70% dems are now up to 18.6% of US population
It would be excellent too if his electoral total was larger, AND he lost the popular one by an even bigger amount. Heads. Would. Explode.
Round 13 In The Trade War
Chinese and U.S. negotiators are planning to meet in October. Although there have been 12 rounds of high-level talks between the U.S. and China, a key source in China expects a breakthrough in round 13.
Hu Xijin, the editor of the communist People's Daily's tabloid Global Times, said he expects "substantial progress" in talks set for early October. The apparently well-connected Hu has been accurate in previous commentary on the trade war.
Bottom line - Dems have no shot to beat Trump....
Good points but you forgot Bloomberg. If biden quits, B’berg will take his place. If biden doesn’t have a majority at the convention, then maybe B’berg wins a brokered convention.
Long shot prediction, but I think B’berg is the only rat who could beat Trump.
I agree and I’m basing it on my own experience. I think all the 2016 Trump voters will stick with him and I also think he’s gained a lot of former doubters.
I was for Ted Cruz and didn’t like Trump at all but after he defeated Hillary I decided to give him a chance and he’s been sooooo much better than I could have imagined.
Only thing Bloomberg ever got elected to was mayor of NYC... as a Republican... riding Giuliani’s very considerable coattails.
His ability to sell nationwide is nil. He’ll go over as well as Tom Steyer.
The Democrats have nobody they could possibly recruit that could go toe to toe with Trump and come out the victor.
In general, I’d say that out of a 1,000 2016 Trump voters...probably around 99-percent will vote for Trump in 2020. I’d also go out and suggest that three significant groups who didn’t vote for Trump in 2016...will cross the line and vote in this election. With black males, I suspect he’ll get 35-percent of their vote. With Latinos, it might go just as high. And then you have Democrats who are fed up with the Democratic machine, and have been Trump-enthusiasts in the past two years.
Adding to this situation....a dozen states revamped their Electoral College rules, and their votes go to the highest vote-getter now. This will backfire as Trump gets more votes on the 2020 round...with my belief being that Trump will take 44 states (instead of the 2016 thirty states).
You may be right. If it goes to a brokered conventional then the back room guys take over and Bloomberg takes it.
“. . .Michelle Obama: She (he?) has zero experience running for office and is ugly as sin and won’t play well on TV. Plus the country is sick of the Obamas, that’s why we elected Trump.”
If Michelle runs, she will be a proxy for Valerie Jarrett who ran Barack Obama’s White House. Ms. Jarrett lives with the Obamas in their DC home. Should Michelle be elected she will be a figurehead with Jarrett as the real power behind the throne.
Trump currently stands to realize a higher percentage of the black vote in 2020 than he did in 2016, thanks to sentencing reform and the economy. However, Michelle on the ticket changes the dynamic. Michelle assures both an extraordinarily high black turnout, she also assures a 95% black vote for the Democrat ticket up and down the ballot. With Michelle running the black turnout along may be significant enough to shift the White House, hold the House, and shift the Senate. Barack’s second term victory shows the dynamics of the black vote.
Michelle is extremely popular among the Democrat base and the media. She will have 24/7 positive media coverage. Any negative statement Trump makes about her or her husband will be interpreted by the media as a racist statement and turn into a several day media spectacle. The media will parade GOP pundits and politician before the people who will condemn the Trump statement (Romeny, Ryan, Kasich, a number of GOP Congressmen and Senators). This will not be about switching conservative GOP base voters, this will be about ensuring a high turnout of non-white voters.
The parade of GOP pundits and politicians condemning specific Trump statements will be about keeping support for Trump tepid from the GOP members of Congress. If GOP members of Congress are running at a distance from Trump, like they did in 2018, there is much less chance for the GOP to retake the House and hold the Senate. 2020 will be Trump’s last campaign. If he loses, members of the establishment don’t want to be perceived as pro-Trump for their own careers since the RINO’s will take charge after a Trump loss. If Trump squeaks out a win, he will be gone in 4 years and demographic trends will make the electorate even more pro Democrat. No one in the GOP today is positioned to be the Trump of 2024. It will be a repeat of the 1988 race when George H.W. Bush followed Reagan into office, rooted the Reagan conservatives out of positions of power, and promptly returned to business as usual. Pence will do the same. Certainly no GOP leader today will stand up to the media, much less the Democrats in Congress, the way Trump does.
Young people will not vote against Michelle due to school lunches which will be a distant memory. They have been indoctrinated in the public school system (not to mention universities). They lean socialist, are concerned about climate change, and will gladly cast a ballot for a person of color. Their electronic devices will be constantly inundated with a stream of pro Michelle, anti Trump messages thanks to Google, Facebook, Twitter and the rest of the tech companies going all-in to elect her. Those same tech companies will be doing everything they can to limit Trump’s message getting across social media.
Trump’s biggest accomplishment is the strong economy. You can bet on a carefully timed financial collapse in 2020, just like there was one in 2008. It will be timed to put fear in the hearts of independents, seniors, and women just before ballots are cast. The media will work with the Democrat candidate to amplify the fear message to specific swing voter groups. The Democrat candidate will be portrayed as the savior and only hope. Michelle will promise to bring back the same policies Barack used to bring us out of the 2008 depression. Michelle will be portrayed as the “safe” choice.
Michelle’s inexperience will be a non factor. The electorate voted in masses for her husband whose resume was devoid of accomplishments. Barack will spend the entire campaign talking about Michelle’s involvement, as a behind the scenes advisor, in every decision during his 8 years in office. The media will portray her as the most qualified person to ever run for the office. Again the “safe” choice.
I agree, and suggest a McAuliffe/Michelle ticket, due McAuliffe’s money.
The win will be meaningless if we lose the Senate and don’t win the House.
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