GOP has added bet about 7k more voters over DemoKKKrats.
It will still be a fight.
Yes it will need to be fought for, but, I believe, short of an economic collapse, or a black swan event, that Trump will outperform his 2016 numbers by about 4-6 points on the low end just about everywhere in 2020.
A lot of disenfranchised D’s and Independents stayed home or voted scared for Hillary due to the rhetoric that Trump would destroy the nation, or because they thought Trump had no intention of delivering on his promises and was just another politician.
Now in 2020, they have a 4 year track record and the fear mongering about Trump destroying the country have no teeth. So those that voted out of fear in 16, will not in 20, and those disenfranchised who thought Trump was just all talk know better and show up.
Predition:
Trump will win ever state he took in 16.
Trump will take most if not all states he lost in 16 by 5 or less points.
Trump will take the fight to states he got between 40 and 45% of the vote in 16 and I wouldn’t be surprised if he manages to pull out a few wins there as well.
I see the absolute high water mark for the D’s at 15 or 16 states plus DC in 2020, no matter who the candidate is.
if they put up one of the more whackadoos, D’s may not even be able to win 10 states plus DC.
Yes it will need to be fought for, but, I believe, short of an economic collapse, or a black swan event, that Trump will outperform his 2016 numbers by about 4-6 points on the low end just about everywhere in 2020.
A lot of disenfranchised D’s and Independents stayed home or voted scared for Hillary due to the rhetoric that Trump would destroy the nation, or because they thought Trump had no intention of delivering on his promises and was just another politician.
Now in 2020, they have a 4 year track record and the fear mongering about Trump destroying the country have no teeth. So those that voted out of fear in 16, will not in 20, and those disenfranchised who thought Trump was just all talk know better and show up.
Predition:
Trump will win ever state he took in 16.
Trump will take most if not all states he lost in 16 by 5 or less points.
Trump will take the fight to states he got between 40 and 45% of the vote in 16 and I wouldn’t be surprised if he manages to pull out a few wins there as well.
I see the absolute high water mark for the D’s at 15 or 16 states plus DC in 2020, no matter who the candidate is.
if they put up one of the more whackadoos, D’s may not even be able to win 10 states plus DC.