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No one can be certain if Trump will win or lose reelection
The Hill ^ | August 3, 2019 | Ronald L. Trowbridge

Posted on 08/03/2019 5:48:26 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

President Trump could win. Or he could lose. By no means does anyone know for sure. I base this uncertainty on six dimensions.

Dimension 1: Immigration

Democrats clearly seem to be implying: “Let all illegal immigrants into the United States. Then give them free health care, including the 11 million illegal immigrants presently in the country.” Costs to taxpayers would be beyond staggering. Trump, as we all know, opposes such actions. We can assume the public is divided. The unknown is: No one can divine the answer.

Dimension 2: Trump’s supporters Hillary Clinton found out the hard way that it was political suicide to attack Trump’s supporters by calling them “deplorables.” Such an insult mobilized a reactionary backlash in spades. Yet all the time we hear of people being chastised simply for wearing a MAGA hat. That’s an attack on the voters themselves—never a wise idea.

Caitlin Flanagan made this same point in the May 2017 issue of The Atlantic, a left-leaning cerebral magazine. She knew better, and her title said it all: “How Late-night Comedy Fueled the Rise of Trump.”

(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Polls
KEYWORDS: trump2020
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To: Steely Tom

“As I’ve said many times: presidential polling results have just two possible interpretations, according to the MSM, either “the Democrat has a commanding lead” or “the polling data is simply too close to call.”

The reason for that is that a % of swing voters determine their vote based on who is the perceived favored candidate to win. “I never vote for a loser.” Supposedly around 10% of the eligible voters that deign to vote in presidential elections are swing voters. The same goes for who ever is declared the winner of a debate by the media. The likely voter approval numbers rise and fall based on perceived debate performance instead of any sort of coherent personal guiding political philosophy.

Freegards


61 posted on 08/04/2019 6:05:01 AM PDT by Ransomed
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To: BillyBoy
No, they said Hillary was a shoo-in and there’s no way Donald Trump will ever be elected President of the United States.

I know. I was being ironic.

62 posted on 08/04/2019 6:36:36 AM PDT by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrat's John Dean])
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To: Oscar in Batangas

we only need to flip 21 Dem to GOP House seats ... Dems picked up 33 GOP seats in Congressional districts that Trump won in 2016 ... shouldn’t be too much of a stretch ...


63 posted on 08/04/2019 10:01:57 AM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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