Posted on 06/17/2019 12:10:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
President Trump will officially announce that hes running for reelection at a massive rally in Orlando on Tuesday. The early line on his chances: Hes not the favorite, but hes far from down and out.
The leak of unfavorable reelection numbers from Trumps own internal polling, which show him behind Democratic candidate Joe Biden in many key swing states, has triggered a rush to judgment among many analysts. While carefully acknowledging things could change, they note that Trumps job approval rating has been negative through most of his presidency and that he trails most prospective Democratic nominees in the key Midwestern swing states he needs to win. The conclusion is easy to draw: Trumps probably a goner, despite the strong economy.
Its true that Trump has been historically unpopular during his tenure. While other presidents have won reelection with similarly low job approval ratings, they all have been in positive territory at some point during their presidency. Whats more, the past two incumbents who ran for reelection, George W. Bush and Barack Obama, both received a share of the popular vote that was extremely similar to their job approval rating right before Election Day. Trump has never polled above 44 percent job approval for any extended stretch of his presidency. Unless that improves a lot, hes not going to win the popular vote.
But as 2016 showed, he doesnt have to win the popular vote to win an election.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Ah! The first concession speech!
I guess I’m not “people.”
No they aren't. But winning isn't the given some people seem to think either. It's going to be a fight all the way to the end.
I didnt think they were bad...
Looking at his opposition, he can beat the crap out of any of them so far.
He’ll never get elected President, polls have Hillary 99-1 to get elected, oh, wait...here we go again.
In 2020, IT'S JUSTICE STUPID!
Exactly. The race is definitely losable. This is still a country that elected Hussein twice and is capable of handing Trump a loss with their formidable arsenal of fake news outlets and massive numbers of communist/low-info voters.
However, they’re also running on the most insane political platform I’ve ever seen in my lifetime with calls for massive energy tax increases, replete with curbing air travel and beef consumption, government funded abortions and reparations for slavery, which was abolished 150 years ago. I’d be astounded if a skilled politician like Trump would let them continue to skate on this madness like the media has until now.
He’s a shoe-in. First President since Reagan that’s loyal to the country, and it shows.
Only way he can screw this up is to start another war in the Middle East... or to fail to take action to prevent the industrial scale election fraud the Dems are certain to attempt.
George W. Bush and Barack Obama, both received a share of the popular vote that was extremely similar to their job approval rating right before Election Day. Trump has never polled above 44 percent job approval for any extended stretch of his presidency. Unless that improves a lot, hes not going to win the popular vote.
I shot my drink right through my nose when I read that. Give me a minute to mop up.
The Washington Post and other MSM outlets have to walk a careful line.
1) Everybody knows Trump will lose. -> People like to vote for a winner.
2) But Trump could win. -> They don’t want complacent voters staying home on election day.
Not sure about you guys, but I never did think his chances were bad. I’m just waiting for the indictments and arrests to begin.
May I remind everyone that THE WASHINGTON POST is NOT a real newspaper?? - Instead it’s nothing more in 2019 than a “house organ” of the DIMocRATS Party.
Anyone who believes anything that THE POST claims & that is more controversial than the latest sports scores & the weather report is a CLUELESS FOOL, imVho.
(Sine the War in RNV, I’ve trusted NOTHING substantive that the WaPo claims, absent documentary PROOF, as I long ago lost count of the knowing LIES that the “news” paper printed.)
Yours, TMN78247
It's not uncommon for candidates of both parties to run to the extreme and promise wild things during the primaries and then back towards reality for the general. Remember that at various times Trump promised Mexico would pay for the wall, that he would pay off the debt in 8 years, his health care plan would cover everyone in the country with better options and for less money than Obamacare, that the infrastructure would be rebuilt, Muslims banned, and many other things. Reality eventually sets in.
The real fight will be voter FRAUD.
The Leftwing’s chances in 2020 are as bad as people think.
“It’s going to be a fight all the way to the end. “
Trump is strategic enough to rile up the Dems to violence which will rally the masses behind him.
If CWII starts the odds are in Trumps favor.
I choose the side with the weapons.
It wasn't just the 2016 election that showed that. None of the presidential elections were ever won by winning the popular vote.
The media makes it sound like winning by the popular vote is an option.
This country is not a democracy. This is not a one-man, one-vote system. You don't win the presidency by winning the popular vote.
The US as founded is a constitutional representative republic. The Electoral College is mandated by the US Constitution.
But these are democRATS we're speaking of so we can forgive them if they don't believe in the Constitution except to the extent it benefits them and hurts Republicans.
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