Posted on 05/09/2019 4:35:07 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Greetings from Houston, where in barely 24 hours on the ground, I’ve already experienced four flash flood warnings and a Vietnamese-Cajun crawfish restaurant.
Sometimes I have bad ideas, and we’re going to talk about one of them in this edition of Silver Bulletpoints, in which we cover three topics related to the 2020 primary, each in 300 words or less.
Bulletpoint No. 1: Here are the four major meta-messages for 2020
With so many presidential candidates — now 20, by FiveThirtyEight’s count — you could almost sort the Democrats into an NCAA Tournament bracket, with the various candidates seeded into our different “regions.” So I thought about asking Emily, FiveThirtyEight’s designer, to draw up a 2020 candidate bracket. We really love brackets here at FiveThirtyEight, after all.
But I decided this was a bad idea. How come? Putting the candidates in a bracket would imply they’re facing off against one another in a series of one-on-one matchups: Live on ESPN2, it’s Pete Buttigieg vs. Beto O’Rourke in the Outsiders Bracket Regional Semifinal. But that’s not really how the primary works. Instead, the primary is more like if the NCAA Tournament committee had invited all 68 teams to the same gym, tossed a few basketballs onto the court, and said, “Play ball, fellas!”
The bracket idea did get me thinking about how you’d sort the Democratic candidates into four groups, however. Indeed, I think there are four major meta-messages that the 2020 hopefuls are taking. By meta-message, I mean an overall rationale for why the candidate is running and why you should choose him or her
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
Cram it, Nate.
Nate has a great track record- Hillary by 7-11 % at a 91% probability
For any democrat nominee winner:
1. Trump stole the 2016 election
2. Trump is why everything in your world is broken
3. Voting Trump is racist and sexist and homophobic
4. Trump is destroying and dividing America, anyone is better
Thats the total dnc platform right there.
The Dem core message needs only three words: “Death to America!”
Nate is a living example of an Energizer Bunny, just still hopping along the polling trail.
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