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What Should Trump’s 2020 Strategy Be In 2019?
FiveThirtyEight ^ | December 12, 2018 | Staff

Posted on 12/13/2018 8:16:17 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

sarahf (Sarah Frostenson, politics editor): After a midterm election, it’s not unusual for a president to reassess strategy and approach and make appeals to the “middle” or to “reach across the aisle.” But we’re talking about President Trump, who currently doesn’t have a good track record of working with Democrats. So, what evidence do we have that he will try a different approach? And is trying a more bipartisan approach even a good idea?

geoffrey.skelley (Geoffrey Skelley, elections analyst): We’ve been waiting for the fabled “Trump pivot” for, what, two years now? I’m not counting on it happening next year.

sarahf: But his polling numbers aren’t good. It really seems as though he’s only popular in rural parts of the country.

What does that mean for 2020? Doesn’t he have to start to appeal to more groups than his base?

clare.malone (Clare Malone, senior political writer): Well, the short answer is “yes”!

I’m not sure how Trump’s efforts to appeal to more groups will go. He told a group of reporters on Tuesday during a meeting with House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer that he will shut down the government if he doesn’t get funding for his border wall. People don’t generally like it when the government shuts down.

sarahf: But on playing hardball on the border wall as a strategy — isn’t it to some extent more important that Trump deliver on that campaign promise to his supporters, regardless of the political fallout?

geoffrey.skelley: Problem is, the border wall idea is unpopular.

So this is a complete play to the base, which Trump arguably already has locked up. If he’s looking to improve his fortunes, pursuing a government shutdown for something that the majority of Americans oppose doesn’t seem wise....

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Stop being a wuss and start firing people and arresting the clintons and obamas.


21 posted on 12/14/2018 6:44:14 AM PST by minnesota_bound
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He had better looking into illegal VOTING in this country. With the ballot harvesting, his “policies” will have no affect if the democrats cheat (as usual).


22 posted on 12/14/2018 8:05:41 AM PST by ThePatriotsFlag (We are getting even more than we voted for.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yes because we all know Obama went out of his way to work with Republicans (sarc)


23 posted on 12/14/2018 10:28:06 AM PST by Sam Gamgee
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To: Huskrrrr

Good to get the base out. Apparently though many, including my wife, don’t think Hillary is evil incarnate. She rolled her eyes when I suggested I was surprised that when Hillary read the Apostle Creed it didn’t leap up in flame. (Is it possible only the base are the ones that see how evil she is?)


24 posted on 12/14/2018 10:29:36 AM PST by Sam Gamgee
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To: V K Lee
...the border wall idea is unpopular

Based on a poll of 1000 registered voters in Honduras.

25 posted on 12/14/2018 10:53:50 AM PST by Verginius Rufus
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