Posted on 05/07/2017 6:10:08 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Well, maybe. Democrats for some reason bragged about an internal poll in Georgia’s 6th Congressional district runoff election last week which showed their candidate, Jon Ossoff, picking up absolutely no more support than the 48% he got in the all-in primary. Instead, Republican Karen Handel jumped from 19% to 47% in a week. When Ossoff declared on Twitter that “this is what momentum looks like!”, one could be forgiven for wondering just who he meant to promote.
Last night, a new poll from WSB and Landmark Communications showed Handel with slightly more momentum, if it can be called that, narrowly edging Ossoff by less than three points:
(VIDEO-AT-LINK)
A new WSB-TV, Landmark Communications poll shows Republican Karen Handel and Democrat Jon Ossoff are neck-and-neck in the tightly contested 6th Congressional District race.
The new poll of 611 likely voters shows Handel with 49.1 percent of the vote and Ossoff with 46.5 percent. …
Landmark Communications President Mark Rountree says this shows Handel may be consolidating Republicans around her campaign.
“There were more Republicans that actually voted, or more people who voted Republican I should say, and they’re now getting behind Handel in bigger numbers. And she has now taken the lead in the race. It’s a small lead, but she has taken a small lead,” Rountree said.
Basically, this poll shows the same situation as the previous internal Democratic poll: a virtual tie. Both polls have a ±4% margin of error, and both polls had a small but significant group of undecideds. For a fairly conservative district, having a Republican in a virtual tie six weeks before a runoff isn’t a bad position for a Democratic to have … theoretically speaking.
However, the real story here is pretty much what Rountree says. Handel came out of an eleven-candidate Republican field that had a contentious primary to consolidate most of the GOP vote in just a couple of weeks. The combined Republican vote came in three thousand higher than combined non-Republicans in the primary, and it appears that Handel has managed to at least maintain that much separation in this poll (with MoE caveats, of course). Ossoff and Democrats poured over $8 million into the district already, and this poll suggests that he’s not doing much better than what a district with a Cook Index of R+8 would produce for two generic candidates — a 54/46 GOP win.
Bear in mind that this is just one poll, the first from the media for the June 20th grudge match. RealClearPolitics hasn’t even set up a runoff tracker for polling in this district yet, so we don’t have a good aggregation on which to rely. On top of all that, special election turnout models are so unpredictable that they tell us nothing predictive for the next regular cycle. In other words, don’t place your bets quite yet, but the two polls we’ve seen strongly suggest that Handel has generated a lot of momentum among Republicans very quickly, while Ossoff seems to have stalled, and might be falling back. Unfortunately for Democrats, they went all-in on this one already.
Ossoff was a one-off.
This is great news. The RATS keep thinking that Trump support will collapse. This run off election is not showing this. If anything, Trump may actually get stronger.
Polls are still full of manure. I sincerely think the polls are, by design or not, pre-disposed to make Demon Rat positions look more popular than they are and conservative positions look less popular than is the case in real life.
Nice!
Jon Ossoff demonstrates his stupidity by working with congressman Hank Johnson.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iY1mAlFjJTw
As predicted before the open primary
The rats ill spin it win or lose. You don’t want a knock out punch here. Just a small win.
So close to so many military bases with such a huge number of folks with heroic military service, yet the GOP is running this dried up old broad. How fun it would be to watch a retired Soldier or Marine have fun emasculating this liberal pansy, this ‘citizen of the world’. Instead, the dried up old broad will win by a few points and be good for four or five terms, maximum. As George Will likes to say, ‘The Stupid Party’.
You quote George Will when using the term, “dried up”?
Well I used the term ‘pansy’ too. Just because I quote George Will doesn’t mean I can’t also use terms like ‘dried up’, effeminate, pansy, limp-wristed, etc.
Handel pulls ahead of Ossoff in GA-6.
There were 18 candidates in the primary. More than half were Republican. I don’t know if any were military.
Unless the Republican party starts telling people they can’t run as Republican, I don’t think they have much to do with who ran.
There were too many candidates in the primary.
She’s almost at 50% and he’s fallen 1.5% already. Over.
What did he say? Something about a landmark victory for the ages?
Republican leading by three points-race is "neck and neck."
Democrat leading by 3 points:
"Republican struggling to find voice as prospects fade."
I am still surprised, and amazed, that the Democrats and Hollywood crowd went all in, to the tune of millions of dollars, into a single special election, for a single congressional seat.
If the Democrats won this special election, it would not tip the balance of power in Washington, or have any meaningful impact in any way, by adding one new Democrat to the Democrat minority in Congress.
And even if the Democrats won, it would be an uphill battle for them to retain this seat in the regularly scheduled Nov. 2018 election for a full term.
I voted for Dan Moody a former Army Reserve Officer but he hardly showed. I have great respect for Marilyn Quayle who gave Karen Handel her political start as her deputy chief of staff. Karen Handel is where she is right now because of her high name recognition from previously running for office so many times. I'll vote for her because having that Ossoff for my Congressman is beyond the pale.
All about a Trump mandate, I guess.
A dem win repudiates.
It kills momentum.
It proves Trump is not the people's choice now. Maybe not then (November) either.
Of course if Ossoff loses, it doesn't mean anything.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.