Trump should trust his own polling only a little, and he should not trust anyone else's polling at all. This election is uncharted territory, and no one knows what is really going to happen in 15 days.
I agree, but I think the central issue withe respect to relying on polling is this: if something "unusual" happens on November 8, then it's going to accrue to Trump's advantage. I mean, that's what we're talking about. I think a Hillary landslide is highly unlikely.
So it will either be close, or it'll be a Trump landslide.
If Trump believes in his polling team, he should rely on their data as potentially the best that is available. If Trump thinks he has a good chance in Virginia, then he should go for it, based on priority and time constraints.
I'm having a hard time believing that these early voting lines here in Florida (I'm in Broward, I've read other reports from the Orlando area) are people jumping to get to the polls because of Hillary.
I find it hard to believe that thoughtful voters, after seeing these Trump rallies, and the enthusiasm— and after seeing Hillary's generally soulless, ill-attended rallies— are going to disregard the evidence of their own eyes.
One way or another, this particular metric (crowds, enthusiasm) will forever inform my opinion regarding political reality. It either means something, or it doesn't. If it means anything at all, then Trump must have an advantage.
The Revolution is ON!
Vote Trump!