I agree, but I think the central issue withe respect to relying on polling is this: if something "unusual" happens on November 8, then it's going to accrue to Trump's advantage. I mean, that's what we're talking about. I think a Hillary landslide is highly unlikely.
So it will either be close, or it'll be a Trump landslide.
If Trump believes in his polling team, he should rely on their data as potentially the best that is available. If Trump thinks he has a good chance in Virginia, then he should go for it, based on priority and time constraints.
I'm having a hard time believing that these early voting lines here in Florida (I'm in Broward, I've read other reports from the Orlando area) are people jumping to get to the polls because of Hillary.
I find it hard to believe that thoughtful voters, after seeing these Trump rallies, and the enthusiasm— and after seeing Hillary's generally soulless, ill-attended rallies— are going to disregard the evidence of their own eyes.
One way or another, this particular metric (crowds, enthusiasm) will forever inform my opinion regarding political reality. It either means something, or it doesn't. If it means anything at all, then Trump must have an advantage.
The Revolution is ON!
Vote Trump!
Forgive me if I don’t see reports of long lines in lefty Broward and Orlando as being a good sign. The Cultural Marxist “press” has been pushing the idea that Trump is the new Hitler on behalf of their partisan allies, the DNC and the Hillary campaign, since last year. Low-information, gullible leftists don’t have to be excited about Hillary in order to be eager to get out to the polls to vote against Trump.
I’d like to think that the “press’s” ridiculous propaganda and distortions against Trump wouldn’t influence anyone, but I’ve known far too many leftwingers and far too many LIVs to believe that. These are also not the sorts who would ever sit through a full Trump rally and find out what he’s really about without the “media’s” lies. Now if I were to hear about long lines in the Panhandle, SW FL, rural Northern FL, and probably even the Central FL suburbs, I really would take that as great news.