Posted on 10/14/2016 4:24:06 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump hasn’t had a lot of good polling news lately. Very few swing-state polls have shown him with a lead since the first presidential debate, and those few leads have mostly been in states like Ohio and Iowa that aren’t part of Hillary Clinton’s path of least resistance to 270 electoral votes. To find good polls for Trump in states that could be part of Clinton’s firewall, you have to cherry-pick a bit — and you have to accept the fact that “good” in this context means trailing by a little instead of by a lot.
With that stipulated, some of Trump’s better numbers have come in New Hampshire. A MassINC poll released on Friday morning showed Trump trailing by only 3 percentage points there. And a Suffolk University poll last week — conducted before the release of the 2005 “Access Hollywood” videotape — had him down only 2 points in New Hampshire.
As I warned, that required a bit of cherry-picking. Several other polls of New Hampshire have been released since the first debate, and they have Clinton ahead by margins ranging from 6 to 11 percentage points — a safer margin than the MassINC or Suffolk polls show. New Hampshire is also one of the few swing states where Trump has spent more on advertising than Clinton — a deficit that the Clinton campaign could counteract if it feels as if the state is in jeopardy.
But as far as our model is concerned, the outcome in New Hampshire is more uncertain than in the other Clinton firewall states. Let me explain what I mean by that....
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
New Hampshire is in play. GO TRUMP GO
One thing I have wondered about...usually by now we would see a few internal polls leaked out by the (supposed) leader in the race. The fact that the Beast hasn’t done that makes me think the polling isn’t good enough to release. Trump just put out some info on their polling.
BS from another rabid liberal hack: Nate silver.
New Jersey is in play as well
Come on now.
Do you think the African Americans in Newark and Camden are satisfied with the liberal establishment? 30K a year per student in Asbury Park, Camden, Trenton, Newark, Atlantic City, and yet they are biggest failed schools in the country? And yet, you drive four miles from Camden to Moorestown where the schools are some of the best in the country?
Strange right
School choice would at least allow parents in these communities to send their kids to schools that are not ran by NJEA drug dealing mobs. Give their kids hope. Even poor people have dreams you know. And Trump is saying what they wanted to hear for decades.
Trump could win NJ just on school choice alone.
‘Nate silver’
AKA, Nate Bronze
AKA, Nate Scrapmetal
it seems that the polls show Trump leading in many states....
Nate “balderdash” Drivel
Bol!
Trend is your friend. Trump won NH and Bernie beat Hillary 60.4 to 38. I forgot about the trouncing Hillary got in NH. NYT results Here. If a lot of the Bernie people and Indies plus last minute 3rd party switchers go for Trump, he could win it.
If NH goes early for Trump on November 8, it may be an omen that Trump will win plus an example for states still voting.
New Hampshire, Get Out the Vote! Live Free or Die!
I spoke with a friend of mine today who is a police officer in New Hampshire. His job has him driving all over that state. He has seen very very few Clinton signs, even in areas that are traditionally liberal near the Massachusetts border. He is pretty politically involved on the gun issue, and it is his belief that New Hampshire will easily be carried by Trump.
MO had her fake tears speech in New Hampshire the other day.
NH is in play. Bigley.
What in the world makes them think she is popular? Or is that just another one of their lies?
It was once said of Ed Sullivan that ‘he will be around as long as other people have talent.’’
Nate Silver is a parasite who made a cake-easy lucky guess about a single election and is now treated as an oracle. He’s Pajama Boy with a byline and the same saggy waistband in his flannel PJs.
Any other New Hampshire Freepers out there see any Trump commercials on TV? I don’t watch much but I have only seen one Trump commercial since the primary (it was excellent). Need more of that. A lot of signs for both. Lots of Hillary for Prison signs :}
Total 2016 Democrat Primary votes cast: 250,962
Polls are misleading...if Candidate X is leading a poll over Candidate Y 45 to 37 percent, but if the polls interviewed X party 50 to Y party 30 and Candidate I 20...X is not doing as good, yet Y is doing better...
WATCH TRUMP ON CSPAM 2...SATURDAY AT NOON...
AND IF THE LOONY TUNES STEAL THIS ELECTION..I’LL BE THE
FIRST TO RAISE MY HAND...FOR A NEW POLITICAL PARTY TO
FORM...FOR I WILL NEVER VOTE A REPUBLICAN AGAIN. AND WILL
LEAVE THE PARTY AFTER 55 YEARS...
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