Translation: Trump will win OH going away.
I think FL is already in the bag, as is NC. The voter registration shifts there, in IA, and in PA are massive, and way more than a “ground game” will overcome. Trump has at least one ME electoral vote.
I think the NV poll is stale and that Trump leads there. While PA is always a teaser, I do think he’s likely ahead there, too. Right now, I think only VA is still a slight Cankles lead, but that too is disappearing.
MI, NM, WI, NJ, and RI are in play. We are right on target for my estimate of 300-310 electoral votes.
Him winning Ohio will really foist Kasich for sure
I agree.
Trump definitely leads now in Nevada
He’s going to win Michigan big. He’s doing a smart thing by making a black outreach in the Detroit area. That’s the area that tips the scales toward dems in every election. If he can cut into that just a little bit it’s in the bag.