Posted on 03/29/2016 4:21:33 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump is most likely to win the GOP nomination. But Ted Cruz definitely has a path to victory if he can win key contests.
Trump's current delegate lead over Cruz and John Kasich (Trump — 739, Cruz — 465, Kasich — 143) is more apparent than real. At some point, Marco Rubio is likely to endorse Cruz and release his delegates. Since the Rubio campaign was conceived in the womb of the establishment's anti-Trump initiative, his delegates are likely to go to the Texan en masse, giving Cruz 631 delegates, only 108 behind Trump.
If Cruz wins Wisconsin, he will take most of its 42 votes. And, if on April 9, his candidates prevail at the Colorado delegate selection caucus (no presidential primary or caucus in that state), he will get the bulk of the state's 37 delegates. That should cut Trump's lead to less than one hundred — perhaps seventy or so.
The Wisconsin win, which would be Cruz's first victory in a major northeastern industrial state, shows that as Trump's popularity among women declines, Cruz is in a position to pick up key victories.
Cruz can expect to lose the April 19 New York primary (95), the next in line, but proportional rules may allow Cruz and Kasich to win a third of the delegates.
After New York, Cruz will be competitive and get his share of the delegates in most of the remaining states: Connecticut (28), Maryland (38), Rhode Island (19), Indiana (57) and New Mexico (24). He will likely pick up Nebraska's 36 and Montana's 27 in their winner-take-all format, but he may lose New Jersey's 51 and Delaware's 16 winner-take-all delegates....
(Excerpt) Read more at creators.com ...
Cruises best path to the nomination, the one he’s actually following, is to put on lipgloss and and find every member of the establishment he can find.
Need to up the Trump delegate count based on tonight’s certification of Missouri results.
Cruz said so today.
Yes, you are correct.
but I rely on GreenPapers for the data and I’m not sure how they handled this situation. It think the MSM sites took the delegates away when they began a MO recount. I’m not sure that GP did that. So I will wait to see if they up the popular vote and up the delegates tomorrow.
During live elections they update around the clock, now, not so much.
Eeeewwww. Now I need brain bleach. Just the thought is icky...
1. The authors use everything breaking in Cruz’s favor.
2. Recent developments do not seem to be factored in.
3. Like all recent pathways, this one uses (needs) a brokered convention.
IMHO The way that Cruz and Trump have handled recent news stories help Trump and damaged Cruz. Trump has momentum on a direct pathway and a wounded opponent. A brokered convention is increasingly unlikely and we will find out well before California. If Cruz wins the nomination after entering the convention >300 behind Trump, there will be big problems.
Bingo. None of this matters because Cruz will loose to Clinton. Which begs the question, why does the GOPe want Cruz v. Clinton? They must know he will loose. Which goes to the scary answer...because they would rather have Hillary than Trump. Cruz would know this too, which means he’s just playing his part in GOPe play. The GOPe gives it to Hillary and returns in 2020 with another set of players and game plan.
Bingo. None of this matters because Cruz will loose to Clinton. Which begs the question, why does the GOPe want Cruz v. Clinton? They must know he will lose. Which goes to the scary answer...because they would rather have Hillary than Trump. “
Yeah! They’ve said as much (Linda Grahamnesty).
They want to lose, hence the throwing of gasoline on Trump/Cruz fight.
“Cruz would know this too, which means he’s just playing his part in GOPe play. The GOPe gives it to Hillary and returns in 2020 with another set of players and game plan.”
Cruz cut a deal somewhere, more money from GS and a chairmanship of a big committee in the Senate.
Indiana is WTA. I can assure you they will all go to Trump.
Uh, this is from Trump’s famous book.
It’s in response to the Trump-Reagan photo that implies Trump was a Reaganite.
That was not the case.
The luck of Hilliary?
Hard for Cruz to get to 1,237 but a bit easier to win as few more delegates than Duckin’ Donald.
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