Posted on 03/29/2016 4:21:33 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump is most likely to win the GOP nomination. But Ted Cruz definitely has a path to victory if he can win key contests.
Trump's current delegate lead over Cruz and John Kasich (Trump — 739, Cruz — 465, Kasich — 143) is more apparent than real. At some point, Marco Rubio is likely to endorse Cruz and release his delegates. Since the Rubio campaign was conceived in the womb of the establishment's anti-Trump initiative, his delegates are likely to go to the Texan en masse, giving Cruz 631 delegates, only 108 behind Trump.
If Cruz wins Wisconsin, he will take most of its 42 votes. And, if on April 9, his candidates prevail at the Colorado delegate selection caucus (no presidential primary or caucus in that state), he will get the bulk of the state's 37 delegates. That should cut Trump's lead to less than one hundred — perhaps seventy or so.
The Wisconsin win, which would be Cruz's first victory in a major northeastern industrial state, shows that as Trump's popularity among women declines, Cruz is in a position to pick up key victories.
Cruz can expect to lose the April 19 New York primary (95), the next in line, but proportional rules may allow Cruz and Kasich to win a third of the delegates.
After New York, Cruz will be competitive and get his share of the delegates in most of the remaining states: Connecticut (28), Maryland (38), Rhode Island (19), Indiana (57) and New Mexico (24). He will likely pick up Nebraska's 36 and Montana's 27 in their winner-take-all format, but he may lose New Jersey's 51 and Delaware's 16 winner-take-all delegates....
(Excerpt) Read more at creators.com ...
I’m sorry, I like Cruz and think he’d be a great prez.
But, HE CAN’T BEAT HILLARY.
And please don’t quote me a “national poll showing Cruz beating Hillary”
I’ve seen all of them, and they’re irrelevant.
Our prez is elected state by state via an electoral college.
Cruz can’t beat Hillary in OH, FL, PA.
So he loses.
Your support for his nomination, gives Hillary the win.
Period. End of story.
Just want to be on record here, so I can do a “I told you so” next winter.
So basically you believe he will win without the voters? Interesting. Rubio’s voters didn’t vote for Cruz. I guess if God forbid that happened he’d be the least vote getter in the last 70 years. Great! What a horrible campaign.
So you think we live in a democracy?
By the way he STILL has not gotten as many states as Santorum. Oops...no nomination for him.
If he can’t get to 1,237 on his own, he should drop out.'
=========================================================
If neither can get to 1,237 that's called tough s#!t.
Your Moms face.
Whole lot of “If”in’ goin’ on....
Yes, is this for 2020?
Cruz calls it Physical Violence this time. What a sorry mess Cruz has turned into. From Courageous Conservative to Cowardly Conservative. I am going to enjoy Trump picking Ted for Ambassador to Zimbabwe
You’d be drunk on GOPe koolaid!
Where Cruz gets schlonged, Trump wins almost 100 more delegates, and Cruz is essentially eliminated from contention...
The math begins wrong because Trump has 755 delegates as reported from the individual SOS and updated religiously by GreenPapers the last 16 years.
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/R
THE DELEGATE RACE MATH ~ 35% of the primary election race remains.
Trump won 7,825,264 votes -—> 755 delegates.
T.Cruz won 5,737,119 votes —-> 465 delegates.
~~Countdown to 1237 delegates~~
There are 895 hard delegates remaining of which some are free/soft delegates. Some delegates have already been won by other candidates. We have 808 new delegates ‘up for grabs’ in the upcoming races.
Donald Trump: 755 delegates won. He must win 482 more delegates to reach 1237. That is 59% of the 808 remaining hard delegates. He may lose 397 more delegates & still win 1237.
Ted Cruz: 465 delegates won. He must win 772 more delegates to reach 1237. That is 96% of the 808 remaining hard delegates. He may lose 36 more delegates & still win 1237.
The current rules set a goal of reaching a simple majority of the delegates combined with a majority win of eight state delegations. When no candidate earns the majority of delegates, the game changes.
So FOLLOWING THE RULES is now “cheating” to the Trump crowd? You guys make me laugh.
++++
You are fighting the good fight 2DV. Don’t give up. Don’t give them an inch.
And yes, following pretty much the same rules that we have always had with the political horse trading that always goes on is considered CHEATING. Anything that hurts a Trump is considered cheating and justification for supporting Hillary in November in order to teach the Evil GOP a lesson.
You are right. Cruz needs 96% of the remaining delegates to reach 1237. Which is NOT going to happen. Cruz knows this. He is a shameless political hack. He is never going to be preznit.
Trump will win Cali and NY. Then Hill gets charged with major crimes . Major crisis among money guys . The Republic may just survive just barely. If not then all bets are off.
Honor...something that the orange windsock will never possess.
Here’s another layout by the NYTimes. Don’t forget that Rubio has 171 an Kasich
has 143 and a few more scattered amongst the others.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/primary-calendar-and-results.html?_r=0
You guys gotta be drawing straws as to which one digs out the oldest POS to post. Let’s see, must be a dozen times this little piece of crap has been posted. Do you got anything else? Anything?
Republic but we vote for our representatives.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.