The Cruz campaign believes it can win a majority of the delegates going forward, in a two man race.
The evangelicals went for Trump in the South. The Northeast might actually be worse for Trump at this point. The thinking is that the remaining states, given a choice between Trump or Cruz, will vote Cruz in a two man race. Maine is the operative example.
Split Ohio to Kasich and Florida to Trump and that forces Rubio out. Then, Cruz looks better in a virtual two man race going forward. It’s worth losing Florida to Trump to shake off Rubio bleeding votes in winner take all going forward.
Cruz won his Senate seat in a nine person primary where a party hack was the overwhelming favorite. His strategy then, same as now, was to work it to a two man race, and then be the contrast. It worked then. If Cruz can knock out Rubio, the strategy could work here two. At least, it’s consistent. Regardless if he wins, if he works it to a two man race, his strategy is a success in that that’s his best window to win.
When you understand that Cruz’ strategy from day one is to work it to a two man race, then you understand why he was content to run in Trumps wake for months, and why he’s hitting Rubio now in Florida. It makes sense when you examine the strategy being used.
That’s why Cruz will risk tossing Florida to Trump if it gets rid of Rubio.
My only question to that strategy is if Kasich wins MI and OH, then he’s got traction and it’s still a 3 man race.
he Cruz campaign believes it can win a majority of the delegates going forward, in a two man race.
The evangelicals went for Trump in the South. The Northeast might actually be worse for Trump at this point. The thinking is that the remaining states, given a choice between Trump or Cruz, will vote Cruz in a two man race. Maine is the operative example.
Split Ohio to Kasich and Florida to Trump and that forces Rubio out. Then, Cruz looks better in a virtual two man race going forward. It’s worth losing Florida to Trump to shake off Rubio bleeding votes in winner take all going forward.
Cruz won his Senate seat in a nine person primary where a party hack was the overwhelming favorite. His strategy then, same as now, was to work it to a two man race, and then be the contrast. It worked then. If Cruz can knock out Rubio, the strategy could work here two. At least, it’s consistent. Regardless if he wins, if he works it to a two man race, his strategy is a success in that that’s his best window to win.
When you understand that Cruz’ strategy from day one is to work it to a two man race, then you understand why he was content to run in Trumps wake for months, and why he’s hitting Rubio now in Florida. It makes sense when you examine the strategy being used.
That’s why Cruz will risk tossing Florida to Trump if it gets rid of Rubio.
My only question to that strategy is if Kasich wins MI and OH, then he’s got traction and it’s still a 3 man race.
8,000 votes (allegedly) in a state of 1 million do not make a race.
The GOP will never allow Cruz to get 1237 delegates. If he gets close they will rerun Rubio. Cruz’s increased support is entirely anti-Trump. That will melt away the minute there is another option and it is clear Trump won’t reach 1237. At this point Cruz is doing the bidding of the GOP and peeling away conservative support from Trump. Cruz’s talking points mesh with Mitt Romney and he is not longer campaigning against Rubio.
This is at time for choosing. Right now Ted Cruz stands with Mitt Romney. United we stand, divided we fall.
“It’s worth losing Florida to Trump to shake off Rubio bleeding votes in winner take all going forward.”
Cruz truly intends to win FL and take it to the barn. To cause a Rubio loss in FL Cruz need do nothing.