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Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
FiveThirtyEight ^ | 17 Dec 2015 | Clare Malone

Posted on 12/17/2015 3:43:20 PM PST by FourPeas

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That focus on national security was on display when Cruz took the stage in Cedar Rapids. He came on the heels of Rand Paul, who, wearing jeans, a tie and no jacket, had paced across the stage like a New Age speaker, haranguing against excessive military spending and sharing his dream of one day auditing the Federal Reserve. Cruz didn't pace. He planted, hand in jacket pocket, boots to stage floor, and spoke to a noticeably enthused crowd about nothing but terrorism, radical Islam and Second Amendment rights.

In my neck of the woods Cruz commercials have been hitting security and 2A rights hard. One frequent radio spot is done in a woman's voice speaking first person about why she's voting for Cruz; it's well done.


1 posted on 12/17/2015 3:43:20 PM PST by FourPeas
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To: FourPeas

Ted Cruz will steam ahead and take Iowa like a storm. Wow....


2 posted on 12/17/2015 3:46:06 PM PST by rovenstinez
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To: FourPeas

Yep, Trump ought to just pack it in now.


3 posted on 12/17/2015 3:48:56 PM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject")
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To: FourPeas

So could salmon shashimi.


4 posted on 12/17/2015 3:51:02 PM PST by Eddie01 (uh oh)
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To: FourPeas

I am 15 miles west of the swamp. Born 1 mile east of it.
Just reactivated twitter to follow Ted. In someways not tech savvy.
Interesting about Abbot.
Not surprised by the women factor.


5 posted on 12/17/2015 3:55:14 PM PST by libbylu (Trump - BICKERING LIKE A SCHOOLBOY. (I said it before Cruz did)!!!)
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To: FourPeas

I think Iowa is just another nut-case state overly influenced by the whore of Babylon - The Catholic Church.


6 posted on 12/17/2015 4:00:24 PM PST by Original Lurker
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To: FourPeas

The women I know (including myself) all think Trump is an ass, not because of his political stances (which IMO needed to be said) but because of the way he presents himself. It’s possible to be blunt and forthright without being rude and self-laudatory. Trump has apparently never learned that distinction.


7 posted on 12/17/2015 4:01:15 PM PST by Hetty_Fauxvert ("Cruz." That's the answer.)
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To: ripnbang

I couldn’t agree more.


8 posted on 12/17/2015 4:10:37 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: FourPeas

Iowa isn’t going to make or break anyone. Anyone who thinks that just because someone got a few thousand more votes in IA than the next guy will determine what millions of people in other states do is dreaming. I’m not just saying this about this election either, I’ve thought the IA caucuses are ridiculously overblown for a long time.


9 posted on 12/17/2015 4:10:59 PM PST by Hugin ("First thing--get yourself a firearm!" Sheriff Ed Galt, Last Man Standing.)
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To: FourPeas

Well maybe but that dog won’t hunt in GA. Every woman I know owns a gun and is voting for Trump and every single one of us has at least one college degree if not two.


10 posted on 12/17/2015 4:11:07 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: libbylu

The Abbot campaign story is definitely insightful. I wonder what little surprises the internal polling is finding.


11 posted on 12/17/2015 4:19:29 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: Hetty_Fauxvert
It's possible to be blunt and forthright without being rude and self-laudatory. Trump has apparently never learned that distinction.

I've heard the same thing in talking with women in my area. I'd guess it's a regional/cultural thing, too. It may be SOP on the coasts, but in the heartland and evangelical culture such behavior is incredibly offensive.


12 posted on 12/17/2015 4:24:07 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: Hugin

Momentum is a valuable thing.


13 posted on 12/17/2015 4:24:48 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: FourPeas

Of course Cruz is going to win Iowa. From everything I read here, it sounds like it’s full of religious nuts.


14 posted on 12/17/2015 4:25:53 PM PST by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown Are by desperate appliance relieved Or not at al)
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To: Jim Noble

You have no idea. My ex-wife and her family are all from Iowa and they are all insane religiously. Being from, and having lived the vast majority of my life in, the east coast did not prepare me for that level of - uh - devotion.


15 posted on 12/17/2015 4:27:52 PM PST by baltiless
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To: FourPeas

I talked to ladies this week and each is supporting Trump. Each said it is past time to be forceful. We all agreed that the lower polling candidates need to get out. None liked Bush. GO TRUMP.


16 posted on 12/17/2015 4:31:04 PM PST by MamaB (Heb. 13:2)
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To: baltiless
they are all insane religiously

What's insane is believing that getting endorsements from people like Dobson, or having a father who is an itinerant pastor fallen away from Catholicism, is going to HELP Cruz win a national election.

Winning Iowa is unimportant.

Convincing the 90% of Republicans and Democrats who are not religious nuts that you are one is - crazy.

17 posted on 12/17/2015 4:51:34 PM PST by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown Are by desperate appliance relieved Or not at al)
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To: Original Lurker

That is a repulsive remark


18 posted on 12/17/2015 5:03:30 PM PST by RaginRak
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To: Jim Noble

Indeed Iowa is blessed to have a politically active evangelical Christian population.


19 posted on 12/17/2015 5:04:41 PM PST by FourPeas (Tone matters.)
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To: Original Lurker

Nope. Also, the Catholic Church is not what you said.

http://www.bestplaces.net/religion/state/iowa


20 posted on 12/17/2015 5:05:31 PM PST by huldah1776
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