What in the heck is going on in Ohio? (VANITY)

[AdamBomb]

Everything is breaking our way. We have the momentum and a great candidate.

But something isn't right in Ohio. How in the world can zero be tied or up in this state?

Does anyone have any inside information or plausable theories?

[waxer1]

Maryland and delware are pretty solid obama. I dont really see much change there. We do need either Ohio or PA. I would concentrate more heavily in Ohio. Much closer than PA.

[Angry_White_Man_Syndrome]

I live down in Gallia Co. and the signs here favor Romney by 7:1 easy. At the RNC headquarters, they are constantly out of yard signs. At work the Obama supporters have already admitted defeat. I had a running joke with a woman that I was going to bring her tissues and chocolate the day after Obama lost. Lately she keeps reminding me that she likes dark chocolate adn tissues with moisturizer.

I truely believe it is over, they just don't want to admit it.

[Zuben Elgenubi]

Casual observence of yard signs in SW Ohio are running 3 to 1 for Romney. This is quite different from 4 yrs ago when virtually every Buckeye (worthless nut) believed a black president would neatly make up for a century of slave guilt (Ohio was a major route to slave freedom).

No one talks about it of course, as it would be in poor form.

However, I've seen a number of "Fire 0bama" signs on lawns, something I never thought I would see on anyone's lawn.

[Mr. K]

Romney should pull out of Ohio and go to NY or CA-

according to some polls it is a lot closer there than anyone expected

he wins ONE of those and he wins

NATIONALIZE the election and stop with the single state by state focus. He needs a Republic Congress

[ontap]

You can say that again.....errr you did say that again!!

[LS]

Thanks, but LdSentinal and Ravi and plushaye did most of the work and Jet Jaguar did all the ping lists.

[drella8566]

I heard Romney is pulling out of NC since it’s a given and moving his people to OH.

[thingumbob]

It's smoke and mirrors about Ohio......

Save this spreadsheet of absentee ballots and early voting in the state. It is updated every couple of days and it shows that Obozo's numbers are way down and Mitt's are up over 2008 McCain numbers throughout the state.

It's usual for Dems to be ahead in early voting and absentee's but on Election Day, Ohio votes Republican in great numbers. Last time some of those people stayed home, this time enthusiasm and momentum are with Mitt.....and those people will not make that same mistake this time.

Having lived there and endured the deafening campaign ads for many years, I predict Ohio is Romney's.......

Remember that if the voters show an early win for Romney, Obozo won't be able to get his minions to stand in line and vote on election night out west....so they need a firewall to make that happen...Ohio is that firewall and expect the media to hold off calling it.

They need people to stay in line in to vote in Wisconsin and Iowa to get people to stay in line to vote in Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada etc. You get my meaning.....

[Little Ray]

IIRC, Ohio recently elected a Republican governor and legislature, and, in the deal, started its own mini-recovery. So things just are not as bad in Ohio as they are in much of the rest of the country. That might explain why Ohio hasn’t fallen to Romney.
Yet.

[ontap]

according to some polls it is a lot closer there than anyone expected

That means instead of getting 35% of the vote he might get as much as 40% of the vote.....he doesn't need to waste any money in either of those eastern block states!!!

[traditional1]

Probably have 50,000-100,000 ballots-for-Obama in the ready, if they need it. Cleveland and Cincinatti, for sure, will have massive (D) vote counts....as always.

[hinckley buzzard]

Obama has had the upper hand with his ad campaign, which may have held Ohio back. Here in NE Ohio, Romney's ad campaign has now been ramped up to carpet bombing dimensions as well. There is still little enthusiasm for obama around here outside the black enclaves, and even there it is not 2008 redux. I expect Ohio will break for Romney in good time.

[waxer1]

Can’t speak for NY but for CA forget it. Romney will never win CA. I would double my efforts in Ohio and Pennsylvania.

[RightWingNilla]

Ohio State University voters.

Watch and weep...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A2EoZq2rXXI&feature=youtu.be

[Venturer]

I live in St. Mary’s County Md. We will go Romney,

Bet on it.

Of course PG will go Obama. Baltimore will go Obama.
Charles will be split and the Eastern shore will go Romney.
Montgomery will probably go Obama

[Hoosier Catholic Momma]

Angry_White_Man_Syndrome is wrong! It’s more like 10 or 12 to 1 :)

Signed,
A_W_M_S’s wife (who he knows is never wrong, right, honey? LOL)

P.S. Remind me to put those chocolates and tissues on the next grocery list! ;)

[waxer1]

I show the great state of Maryland solid Obama. Should I move it to my tossup column?

[thingumbob]

Probably have 50,000-100,000 ballots-for-Obama in the ready, if they need it. Cleveland and CincinattiColumbus, for sure, will have massive (D) vote counts....as always

Now you sentence is more correct on any other presidential election year, but this time, Ohio belongs to Romney....I'm certain of it.

On the Wednesday after the election, you will be P!ssed after you see by how much it was......it's gonna be a lot bigger than the media wanted you to think......

[Delhi Rebels]

Everything is breaking our way. We have the momentum and a great candidate.

We don't have a great candidate. We have Romney.

[TonyInOhio]

I believe pollsters are having trouble accurately gauging the state of the race here, mostly because they are ignoring the real results from early and absentee voting. Remember that Obama's margin of victory in 2008 came entirely from early and absentee voting; McCain actually won among voters who voted on Election Day. Recently. a Lefty pollster (one of the PPP guys, I think) said that Romney was leading Obama by ten points amongst Ohioans who intend to vote on Election Day.

So, Obama has to rely on early and absentee voting to win, and he is dramatically underperforming his 2008 results. That points to a Romney win (by two to three points, IMO) if you are paying attention, but the pollsters are not - they still factor in a sizeable Democratic turnout advantage, based on 2008 results, but the data already available for this election show that advatange no longer exists.

In a nutshell, ignore the polls. :)