Could it be?
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Nope. The “Bradley Effect” was the “Great White Hope” (heh) in 2008, and it didn’t pan out.
It went just the opposite way, as dimwits saw it as a way to purge their souls of guilt.
2 posted on
09/01/2012 3:45:28 PM PDT by
Yossarian
("All the charm of Nixon. All the competency of Carter." - SF Chronicle comment post on Obama)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
I heard this idea touted incessantly in 2008. It was B.S. then, too.
To: 2ndDivisionVet
We will find out in 2 months.
4 posted on
09/01/2012 3:47:28 PM PDT by
Red Steel
To: 2ndDivisionVet
Without question, the Bradley Effect is a factor in this election as it proved to be a major factor in the 2008 election.
To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Bradley effect lasted way past the 2008 election.
7 posted on
09/01/2012 3:48:34 PM PDT by
Raycpa
To: 2ndDivisionVet
It makes sense. In a poll a voter will react emotionally and say yes to the feel good choice.
In the voting both, feelings fade and the analytical choice is for the best candidate.
9 posted on
09/01/2012 3:57:57 PM PDT by
cicero2k
To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Bradly Effect will be what pollsters and the media will blame, instead of the horrible D/R/I sample.
To: 2ndDivisionVet
The crowds tell the tale. If the media doesn't show the crowds, then Mitts are large and the big 0’s are small. Same thing the media pulled on Regan vs Carter. That election was supposed to be a dead heat. I remember how hard it was for Frank Reynold’s to call the Regan landslide in 1980. Can't wait to see them forced to call Mitt's landslide in 2012.
11 posted on
09/01/2012 3:59:53 PM PDT by
Nuc 1.1
(Nuc 1 Liberals aren't Patriots. Remember 1789!)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
I don’t know about any Bradley effect, but it looks pretty good to me. If the polls were honest, I think Obama would be 10 points down.
To: 2ndDivisionVet
If the Bradley effect influences 3-4% of the electorate, that’ll likely be enough. I believe it is at least that big this time around
14 posted on
09/01/2012 4:05:57 PM PDT by
muir_redwoods
(Hopey changey Low emission unicorns and a crap sandwich)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
I’m not terribly concerned. As long as Romney can bring together a coalition of 2008 McCain voters, moderate Republicans that were turned off by the candidates (Palin, McCain or both) and voted Obama, with a good chunk of Independents/conservative Dems he shouldn’t have any trouble.
17 posted on
09/01/2012 4:13:09 PM PDT by
erlayman
To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Dems have played the race card for 3 + years. Now it will come back and haunt them. “Don't worry, Be happy”.
19 posted on
09/01/2012 4:17:34 PM PDT by
mosaicwolf
(Strength and Honor)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
Wouldn’t a smart pollster be able to approximate the effect and allow for it in his sample size?
The top pollsters, like say Rasmussen or Gallop, would probably be the best at dealing with it.
To: 2ndDivisionVet
Dunno about you guys, but when a pollster called me I told him I thought 0bama was the greatest president ever, and of course I’m voting for him.
Anything to screw with their numbers....and I’m positive I ain’t the only one out there doing this......
22 posted on
09/01/2012 4:21:35 PM PDT by
Emperor Palpatine
(I need a good stiff drink. How 'bout you?)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Bradley Effect has morphed into the personal popularity of Obama in spite of his being a failed president. Or, as Ryan put it, he’s not a bad man, just a bad president.
To: 2ndDivisionVet
I fear what’s happening with Obama is more the Bell Curve than the Bradley Effect.
27 posted on
09/01/2012 4:34:29 PM PDT by
baa39
To: 2ndDivisionVet
There was no Bradley effect in 2008. Its a myth.
28 posted on
09/01/2012 4:47:51 PM PDT by
JerseyDvl
(Cogito Ergo Doleo Soetoro, ABO and of course FUBO!)
To: 2ndDivisionVet
Could it also be a cover for pollsters and pundits to cover for the skew in the numbers caused by suspected/ascetained/predicted illegal-fraudulent voters?
That gives them cover for the high margins of difference in actual outcomes because of the real to dead voters and results of said anomalies.
That is depressing.
36 posted on
09/01/2012 5:21:21 PM PDT by
JSteff
((((It was ALL about SCOTUS. Most forget about that and HAVE DOOMED us for a generation or more.))))
To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Bradley Effect is a crock. I lived in CA back then. Bradley endorsed Prop 15 which would have stopped the sale of any more handguns in CA. As a result, tons more conservatives turned out to vote than the pollsters had planned on. They voted against Bradley because of Bradley’s endorsement of the gun control proposition, not because he was black
39 posted on
09/01/2012 6:01:29 PM PDT by
meepsch
To: 2ndDivisionVet
Romney is ahead of where Reagan was at this point in 1980. We know how that turned out.
44 posted on
09/01/2012 7:03:58 PM PDT by
TBP
(Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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