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Could it be?
1 posted on 09/01/2012 3:42:49 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Nope. The “Bradley Effect” was the “Great White Hope” (heh) in 2008, and it didn’t pan out.

It went just the opposite way, as dimwits saw it as a way to purge their souls of guilt.


2 posted on 09/01/2012 3:45:28 PM PDT by Yossarian ("All the charm of Nixon. All the competency of Carter." - SF Chronicle comment post on Obama)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I heard this idea touted incessantly in 2008. It was B.S. then, too.


3 posted on 09/01/2012 3:45:28 PM PDT by Future Snake Eater (CrossFit.com)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

We will find out in 2 months.


4 posted on 09/01/2012 3:47:28 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Without question, the Bradley Effect is a factor in this election as it proved to be a major factor in the 2008 election.


6 posted on 09/01/2012 3:48:12 PM PDT by Uncle Slayton
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Bradley effect lasted way past the 2008 election.


7 posted on 09/01/2012 3:48:34 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It makes sense. In a poll a voter will react emotionally and say yes to the feel good choice.

In the voting both, feelings fade and the analytical choice is for the best candidate.


9 posted on 09/01/2012 3:57:57 PM PDT by cicero2k
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Bradly Effect will be what pollsters and the media will blame, instead of the horrible D/R/I sample.


10 posted on 09/01/2012 3:58:35 PM PDT by middlegeorgian
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The crowds tell the tale. If the media doesn't show the crowds, then Mitts are large and the big 0’s are small. Same thing the media pulled on Regan vs Carter. That election was supposed to be a dead heat. I remember how hard it was for Frank Reynold’s to call the Regan landslide in 1980. Can't wait to see them forced to call Mitt's landslide in 2012.
11 posted on 09/01/2012 3:59:53 PM PDT by Nuc 1.1 (Nuc 1 Liberals aren't Patriots. Remember 1789!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I don’t know about any Bradley effect, but it looks pretty good to me. If the polls were honest, I think Obama would be 10 points down.


13 posted on 09/01/2012 4:02:09 PM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If the Bradley effect influences 3-4% of the electorate, that’ll likely be enough. I believe it is at least that big this time around


14 posted on 09/01/2012 4:05:57 PM PDT by muir_redwoods (Hopey changey Low emission unicorns and a crap sandwich)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I’m not terribly concerned. As long as Romney can bring together a coalition of 2008 McCain voters, moderate Republicans that were turned off by the candidates (Palin, McCain or both) and voted Obama, with a good chunk of Independents/conservative Dems he shouldn’t have any trouble.


17 posted on 09/01/2012 4:13:09 PM PDT by erlayman
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Dems have played the race card for 3 + years. Now it will come back and haunt them. “Don't worry, Be happy”.
19 posted on 09/01/2012 4:17:34 PM PDT by mosaicwolf (Strength and Honor)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Wouldn’t a smart pollster be able to approximate the effect and allow for it in his sample size?

The top pollsters, like say Rasmussen or Gallop, would probably be the best at dealing with it.


21 posted on 09/01/2012 4:21:35 PM PDT by smoothsailing
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Dunno about you guys, but when a pollster called me I told him I thought 0bama was the greatest president ever, and of course I’m voting for him.

Anything to screw with their numbers....and I’m positive I ain’t the only one out there doing this......


22 posted on 09/01/2012 4:21:35 PM PDT by Emperor Palpatine (I need a good stiff drink. How 'bout you?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Bradley Effect has morphed into the personal popularity of Obama in spite of his being a failed president. Or, as Ryan put it, he’s not a bad man, just a bad president.


23 posted on 09/01/2012 4:22:40 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I fear what’s happening with Obama is more the Bell Curve than the Bradley Effect.


27 posted on 09/01/2012 4:34:29 PM PDT by baa39
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

There was no Bradley effect in 2008. Its a myth.


28 posted on 09/01/2012 4:47:51 PM PDT by JerseyDvl (Cogito Ergo Doleo Soetoro, ABO and of course FUBO!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Could it also be a cover for pollsters and pundits to cover for the skew in the numbers caused by suspected/ascetained/predicted illegal-fraudulent voters?
That gives them cover for the high margins of difference in actual outcomes because of the real to dead voters and results of said anomalies.

That is depressing.
36 posted on 09/01/2012 5:21:21 PM PDT by JSteff ((((It was ALL about SCOTUS. Most forget about that and HAVE DOOMED us for a generation or more.))))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Bradley Effect is a crock. I lived in CA back then. Bradley endorsed Prop 15 which would have stopped the sale of any more handguns in CA. As a result, tons more conservatives turned out to vote than the pollsters had planned on. They voted against Bradley because of Bradley’s endorsement of the gun control proposition, not because he was black


39 posted on 09/01/2012 6:01:29 PM PDT by meepsch
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Romney is ahead of where Reagan was at this point in 1980. We know how that turned out.


44 posted on 09/01/2012 7:03:58 PM PDT by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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