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Mike Huckabee withdrawal helps Sarah Pailin get back in the race for president
Irish Central ^ | May 13, 2011 | Patrick Roberts

Posted on 05/13/2011 11:08:07 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Mike Huckabee's expected departure from the Republican race for president opens the door for Sarah Palin again.

Palin has gone quiet after the media sizzle around her died and transferred to Donald Trump.

But with Trump fading faster than a losing 'Apprentice' competitor and Huckabee now looking like he will drop out, Palin is suddenly back in this race if she wants.

Huckabee, with his strong evangelical roots, was a natural to win Iowa and Palin enjoys a comparable level of support among those voters.

Contrast that with Mitt Romney who is held in deep suspicion in the first caucus state, not only because of his moderate politics but also his Mormon religion.

That only leaves Palin as the evangelical choice as none of the other contenders have seriosu traction with those voters.

A win in Iowa could galvanize the Palin campaign heading into New Hampshire in January.

That would be a turn up for the books,but with the Republican race so volatile anything can happen.

Mitt Romney will not be the clear front runner if and when Huckabee announces he is stepping down, but I have believed for some time that he has a very soft core of support.

As usual 'savior' canddiates such as Mitch Daniels are being spoken about as well as Jeb Bush but I feel the winner will come form the present field.

Which is why I think Palin is so intriguing once again.

She has differentiation and a hard core base of support something no other candidate really has with Huckabee out.

I think she is back in with a real chance to win.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2012; evangelicals; huckabee; iowa; jebbush; palin; romney; sarahpalin
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To: allmendream

Obviously no one will challenge Obama ... there were faint hopes in that direction earlier but they’re dead and gone.

Be glad when Sarah gets in, but she will announce when it is time.


61 posted on 05/14/2011 8:30:11 AM PDT by altura ( Palin/Ryan--or Palin/Cain ---or Palin/anybody .)
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To: nopardons

I wouldn’t call Palin a coward if she doesn’t run. Any prospective candidate has family questions to answer before running, and Palin may have more than most, including factors we’ll never know about.

But I hope she runs and I agree, this is her time to do it.


62 posted on 05/14/2011 8:32:55 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: altura
I have to find the thread - but I believe SOMEONE owes FR $100 as soon as 0bama is the official nominee on the ballot in all 50 (or is it 57?) States.

I was certainly hoping that SOME State legislature would pass a bill requesting the State of Birth DOH send directly to the Secretary of State of the ballot issuing State a COLB of whatever acceptable form under the Full Faith and Credit clause.

But all that got caught up in ‘long form’ madness.

I figured at least one State requesting a State to State transfer of official documents would do a few very important things-

1) WTH? There IS no mechanism for making sure the Constitution is being adhered to? Just the gentleman's assumption that no party would run an ineligible candidate?

2) Further marginalize the birthers, as any plausible story whereby this is all a conspiracy gets even deeper and more bizarre.

But yes - the opponent our candidate is facing in 2012 is 0bama.

It is known.

63 posted on 05/14/2011 8:44:43 AM PDT by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
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To: 9YearLurker
I think as far as that goes - Palin’s family has endured and survived (mostly) a HUGE amount of media exposure already. They are already a known quantity.

AND THEY ARE FREEKIN’ AWESOME!

Todd the hunky Eskimo Snowmachine ironman.
Track the military man.
Bristol the Pistol - ug - step AWAY from the camera and get on with your life - don't try to make the camera your life.
Willow - the little sister the big sister should emulate.
Piper - cute
Trig - special needs child.

As a former rural American it is cool to see another family that fills the freezer from hunting - fishes - and really cares for each other. She is a modern day frontier woman!

Freekin’ AWESOME!!!!

64 posted on 05/14/2011 8:50:40 AM PDT by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
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To: allmendream

I wasn’t meaning to slight her family in any way. Just saying she could choose not to run for family reasons that we wouldn’t necessarily know about.

(Not sure Willow’s the little sister Bristol should be emulating, however—as about all we know about her is the slurs she posted on FB.)

Again, I hope she runs.


65 posted on 05/14/2011 9:03:39 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP; Lakeshark
I am also in that same belief. There is no way that Huck will pass up that kind of dominant popularity among Republicans, when he has not even begun to campaign.

I don't think he has any dominant popularity than his TV show and blind allegiance from a segment of Evangelicals that think women belong in the home. He most certainly does not have the dominant support of conservatives or TEA Party Republicans. He won't even be the RINO's choice when Mitch Daniels enters the race. "My Man Mitch" is the Rove/Bush choice, and Paul Ryan also likes Daniels.

His TV show has been a campaign!

He's been running since '08 amd I'm just surprised he's let himself regain so much weight, which is the only reason, I am not 100% certain he's going to run.

He's had that ad running for signatures to repeal obamacare running on Fox for months, which is nothing but a ruse to get an email/phone call list of potential donors for his campaign, since fund raising *remains* his major stumbling block.

Like it or not, [and you don't] the sideline money will remain on the sideline, until Sarah Palin announces her decision.

66 posted on 05/14/2011 9:06:04 AM PDT by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want to be on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: allmendream

Oopsie, Willow makes the papers again:

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1387046/Sarah-Palins-16-year-old-daughter-WILLOW-ticketed-driving-20-mph-speed-limit-family-Escalade.html


67 posted on 05/14/2011 9:07:51 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: 9YearLurker
Yes, she has kept her exposure to a minimum. The Facebook postings were the acting up of a child who saw her family attacked - I don't see her or her family losing much by any attention being paid to that - and thus it has mostly faded away.

I hope she runs also. I await her performance in debates before I am “sold” - but she is MY ‘front-runner’ for the nomination the very nanosecond she announces.

68 posted on 05/14/2011 9:08:17 AM PDT by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
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To: 9YearLurker
84 in a 65 is SOP for most Americans on an open road.

If this is the quality of “dirt” they have on Willow - bring it on.

She called characterized the attacks on her family as “gay” and called a guy a f*ggot and told him to stop attacking her family.

Not little Ms. Prim and Proper - but not anything out of the ordinary (i.e. no dog murders - speaking of Huckabee).

69 posted on 05/14/2011 9:13:37 AM PDT by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
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To: HiTech RedNeck
Both Huck and Sarah got a lot of support from the evangelical faith based crowd.

Yup.

Huck would have been a Palin spoiler. The establishment candidate such as Daniels would have been the beneficiary.

Not anymore.

70 posted on 05/14/2011 9:14:08 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: 9YearLurker

71 posted on 05/14/2011 9:15:00 AM PDT by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
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To: onyx
Of course, right now, 90% of all interest in a candidate is based on Name Recognition. Hucks past candidacy is mostly that.

As far as his TV show being his campaign, his overall numbers are not at all in line with this small audience. If it were just his viewers who were driving his numbers, he would be lower than Palin right now.

The truth is, Huck plays well with moderates and Independents. Since the majority of American voters are not political junkies, Republican/Conservative affiliation is nearly at a record low, and over 38% of the General Electorate call themselves Moderate/Independents and have no party loyalty, candidates like Huck who cater to the middle, seem to have the edge.

72 posted on 05/14/2011 9:16:50 AM PDT by PSYCHO-FREEP (Always Remember You're Unique.......(Just Like everyone Else.))
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To: allmendream

The way I feel about her exactly. She’s always going to have the charm and charisma and adherence to principles, so I want to see her come out wonking it in the debates and all—but my support is hers to lose.


73 posted on 05/14/2011 9:21:54 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: TomGuy
He seems to be saving himself for 2016, especially if the GOP nominates a lackluster loser. I have no doubt he will run, eventually. Running against a miserable 2nd Term of Obama may offer a better springboard for him than running against an incumbent next year.

Watch for the Bush team to (at best) sit on their hands in 2012 especially if Daniels doesn't get the nomination.

74 posted on 05/14/2011 9:24:00 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP
The truth is, Huck plays well with moderates and Independents. Since the majority of American voters are not political junkies, Republican/Conservative affiliation is nearly at a record low, and over 38% of the General Electorate call themselves Moderate/Independents and have no party loyalty, candidates like Huck who cater to the middle, seem to have the edge.

The media would absolutely destroy Huck with the moderates if Huck were the nominee.

They don't do that now, because they want Huck to be the spoiler in the nomination process.

75 posted on 05/14/2011 9:33:44 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: 9YearLurker
“—but my support is hers to lose.”

Ditto. I hope she has acquired more polish and expertise on the issues than in 2008. She is known to do such things and what has always been said about her is that she is underestimated at your own peril.

I already have a high opinion of her - and a few good or great debate performances would cement it.

It would also absolutely blow away anyone fooled into thinking she is any less informed than your average Presidential candidate (who I must say - the typical Ivy League Yale Harvard lawyer we seem to like to elect have NOT been the pillars of knowledge and philosophy that one might hope to expect - too much “everybody passes” elitism I suspect.).

76 posted on 05/14/2011 9:37:10 AM PDT by allmendream (Tea Party did not send the GOP to D.C. to negotiate the terms of our surrender to socialism.)
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To: onyx

If he does run... we will have fun destroying his candidacy... such a target rich environment.

LLS


77 posted on 05/14/2011 9:46:39 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (THANK YOU PRESIDENT BUSH!)
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To: Mean Maryjean

Why thank you mam!

LLS


78 posted on 05/14/2011 9:49:09 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (THANK YOU PRESIDENT BUSH!)
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To: PSYCHO-FREEP

I don’t know where you come up with your numbers, but this nation of ours is right of center.

RINOS lose. Conservatives win.


79 posted on 05/14/2011 9:52:35 AM PDT by onyx (If you truly support Sarah Palin and want to be on her busy ping list, let me know!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

80 posted on 05/14/2011 9:52:46 AM PDT by FourPeas ("Maladjusted and wigging out is no way to go through life, son." -hg)
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