Sarah Palin Will Not Be the Republican Nominee (Sort of a misleading title)

The London Spectator ^ | September 22, 2010 | Alex Massie

[2ndDivisionVet]

"Sure, if the United States is still in an economic slump in 2011 then perhaps Palin's chances improve..."

What are the chances tghe we won't still be in a "slump" as he calls it? And did Alex somehow miss that Gov. Palin won the even bigger Right Nation straw poll with almost 20% of the vote in a large field?

[pillut48]

Nabobs gettin’ busy earlier and earlier each presidential election cycle! I think these stories beat the last time around by 6 months at least!

[ReneeLynn]

The more of these ‘they’ put out the better it is.

[Cletus.D.Yokel]

The writer is an establishment republican [small ‘r’, sic]. Note there is no discussion of Sarah Palin’s policies or platform jsut the same old mumbo-jumbo about who likes her, how they like her and whether she can “win”.

Sorry, that is one of the reason the Tea Party came aboutand why Sarah Palin identifies with it. We don’t “a win”, we want constitutional governance.

[Cletus.D.Yokel]

Long day at work...time to go home.

[streetpreacher]

I think it will be Christie.

[onyx]

"Will they ever give it a rest?" ping to SARAH PALIN'S PING LIST

[LibLieSlayer]

Palin will run if she wants to run... and she will win and become President if she runs.

LLS

[penelopesire]

I hate the so called ‘straw polls’. It’s very clear that Romney and others put strawmen into vote for them at these functions. It’s all bogus.

[Clyde5445]

Hey I hope they keep writing stories like this. It give Sarah more ammo to prove them wrong.

[sit-rep]

I really wish you folks would find a real man to be cheerleaders for. A time like this, when we need to get this asshole out of the White House, you’re going to play social experiment and put a not so popular woman as a choice AGAINST oboma...

I don’t think it’s to smart. A lot of folks I knew voted for Oboma because they did not like Palin...and unfortunately, her gender...

I think we should keep the glass ceiling in place for now, and get our country back first. then we can start the social experimenting again...

(kevlar and asbestos donned...)

[Dr. Sivana]

The problem with an overseas correspondent is that he doesn't get the feel of the game and how it plays out. Who can raise the money? Who can get the ground troops? Who steals votes from whom? Who can place in either Iowa, NH or possibly Nevada or SC?

We know Palin can raise the money.

If Christine O'Donnell can raise 2 million dollars in 72 hours, Sarah Palin can raise 200 million dollars in 72 days.

If 5% of the folks who would wait in line for a copy of Going Rogue with her signature will knock on doors and make phone calls, then the ground troops are no problem. In Iowa and S. Carolina, the new Republican governors will provide important assistance. (not as useful in independent minded Iowa, but Nikki Haley will be VERY important in SC) Palin's organizational skills/team have improved greatly since a few dropped balls in 2009. She's a notoriously quick learner, and her apprenticeship is on schedule.

The longer the list of candidates gets in 2012, the more she stands out. When John Connolly spent 10 million dollars for one delegate in 1980 before dropping out, it was a bottom left hand article of three short paragraphs on page A22. Palin will be part of every article win, lose or draw.

Pawlenty/Daniels/Romney and to a lesser extent Thune are all going for the same crowd. Barbour and Huckabee would both be competing for the southern vote. Only Bolton (if he runs) and maybe Pence would have a serious chance of eating into Palin's space significantly, and either could be a reasonable running-mate. If Santorum runs, it would definitely be for VP.

End result: Palin wins Iowa. Romney, Bolton or whatever guy does surprisingly well in Iowa wins NH. Palin wins SC, big.

[streetpreacher]

I think he’s just dealing in political reality... it has nothing to with ideology or whether or not you like Palin. I like her on a personal level as well but I have major doubts about her as a candidate (not as a barnstormer mind you).

I just don’t think (and I haven’t seen any evidence to prove otherwise) she has been able to engage substantively in any interview, debate, etc. that leads one to believe she can intellectually hold her own. One-liners and clever facebook posts and tweets are not going to endure an entire presidential campaign, nor will simply being able to give good speeches. I think she will be killed by any mainstream journalist one-on-one and I think Obama or Hillary would make mincemeat out of her.

Now, understand, these are just my initial impressions. But I can’t pretend that the 2008 campaign didn’t happen and somehow Steve Schmidt is to blame for her not being able to be articulate and knowledgeable even in what amounted to an “ambush” interview. The reason I say Christie would be a good nominee (if he can break past the establishment himself)is because it’s obvious he will kill those guys or Obama in a one-on-one, as any youtube video will attest.

[onyx]

Me too. Straw polls are stupid and meaningless whenever votes can be stacked, like at CPAC. Ron Paul and Romney always try to buy that straw poll.

[onyx]

RASMUSSEN'S POLL: 52% of Voters Say Their Views Are More Like Palin’s Than Obama’s

Whose views are closer to your own? Palin/Obama

Overall: 52/40

Male: 55/37
Female: 48/43
White: 58/35
Black: 5/87
GOP: 84/9
DEM: 14/81
INDY: 59/27
Conservative: 80/12
Moderate: 28/61
Liberal: 14/85

[sit-rep]

take a look at the female and black vote... the margin narrows considerably...

[Piers-the-Ploughman]

it’s all hype of course.

Sarah Palin definitely has enough cred to run for the nomination. She will debate the other guys and develop more details in her plans. And IA, NH, SC etc will vote and we’ll find out.

Rudy G was frontrunner last time. Bob Dole was a frontrunner all along, it was hist “turn”, and he lost.

[onyx]

LOL. The female vote is all right, given that females are split on abortion, and the black votes speaks for itself. Obama is 1/2 Arab/African you know?

Now you look at the Independents, since Independents decide elections.

Oh, and please clean up your language the next time you post.

[RedMDer]

This all reminds me of the attacks on Goldwater and then Reagan.
The left is frightened :)

[toddausauras]

I’m for Palin but I think Chris Christie would be excellent and if he runs has one of the best shots. He’d likely win NJ if he continues doing a decent job. A Republican who wins NJ wins the WH.