Posted on 07/15/2010 5:26:28 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Huckabees taken potshots at her from time to time, but between this fusillade from unnamed Mitt advisors and the furious counterattack on Romney at Conservatives 4 Palin, Id say that the 2012 primary is now, at long last, officially on.
In the immortal words of Greg Stillson, The missiles are flying. Hallelujah.
Still, few express much regard for Palins ultimate chances. One adviser to Mitt Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, and, by traditional standards, the putative 2012 frontrunner, says of Palin, Shes not a serious human being. Another Romney intimate warns, If shes standing up there in a debate and the answers are more than 15 seconds long, shes in trouble. One of the most experienced Republican national political operatives in the country suggests that while Palin might be envied and sleek, she lacks the endurance required for a protracted nomination fight. Shes like a cheetah. She can run really fast, but not really long. In the end, this school of thought about Palin goes, she is too polarizing to be seen as likely to beat Barack Obama, and Republicans will be too hungry in 2012 to risk nominating someone who could cost the party the White House maybe even in a landslide
Such a disjointed field can only provide more encouragement for Palin.
And nothing would make the White House happier. The Presidents political advisers, troubled by the weak economy and Obamas image as a big spender, are more worried than he is about re-election and more worried than they let on publicly. Obama himself has told people that he believes the Tea Party movement will still be going strong in 2012, leaving the party to go into battle against an incumbent with a candidate too far right to win. In fact, the Presidents advisers believe that if Palin is the nominee, New Yorks billionaire mayor, Michael Bloomberg, could enter the race as an independent, scrambling all the conventional rules yet again.
Bloomberg as a self-funded stalking horse for his pal Barry intent on taking down the GOP? Why, that sounds entirely plausible, actually. As for the nastiness about her being unserious, righties as respected as Krauthammer and George Will have made the same point. And Ive noted before myself that, given the medias obsession with painting her as a female Quayle, shed have to be virtually perfectly on the trail for more than a year to avoid that narrative. The tiniest, most innocent flub think Bush being quizzed on the names of foreign diplomats will be hyped into the second coming of the Katie Couric interview, with the press breathlessly insisting that no sane person would vote for such a doofus. Can she be that perfect on the trail? Can any human being, including Barack Bitterly cling to guns and religion Obama?
Follow the link and read all of that piece, actually, if only for the bit about Bush and Cheney both reportedly pushing their old pal Mitch Daniels to GOP movers and shakers. Given the reviving influence of Team Dubya over the partys establishment, I wouldnt underestimate Danielss ability to burst out of obscurity quickly via a huge push from prominent Republican donors and groups. And speaking of quick bursts, more on Palin from Mark Halperin:
She would be the only woman against a half-dozen or more Republican men. As long as she leaves the door to a race open, she can freeze the field, prevent other GOP hopefuls from gaining much traction, keep the media in a perpetual will-she-or-wont-she frenzy and jump into the race whenever she likes. That would be impossible for an ordinary candidate, but Palin could splash in as late as November 2011, just a few months before the voting begins. There is no deadline for signing up for the Iowa caucuses, and when it comes to competing in early-state contests, she will have a far easier time than any previous insurgent. Her candidacy would require almost none of the usual time sinks that force politicians to jump in early: power-broker schmoozing, schedule-intensive fundraising, competitive recruitment of experienced strategists, careful policy development. She would have immediate access to cash, with even small Internet donations likely bringing in millions.
Fred Thompson splashed into the last primary late, but not as late as November. Then again, Fred wasnt the grassroots phenomenon that Palin is and he suffered from the perception that his late start was due to him not caring quite as much about winning as the rest of the field. That wouldnt be the case with Palin; her late entry would be seen as calculated for dramatic effect, which would probably give her boost. And the point about small donations is well taken: Romneys PAC has dwarfed hers in fundraising so far this year, but according to the Globe, most of the moneys come from events and large donors. By contrast, three-quarters of SarahPACs haul came from small donors. Thats not good news for her in terms of raw numbers Mitt can almost certainly use big-money bundlers to crush whatever amount shed rake in from grassroots contributors but the media will go bonkers for a storyline about plucky blue-collar conservatives trying to propel Palin to victory against the Romney fortune one five-dollar donation at a time. And of course, that media coverage will be worth millions in itself. Remember: The default press narrative in 2012 will be Palin vs. Anti-Palin, with the task for Romney, Daniels, or whoever emerges as her nemesis to try to embody the good qualities the Anti-Palin is supposed to have smart, competent, experienced while avoiding the bad ones (elitist, white-collar, uncharismatic). As such, theyd better be awfully careful with how far they push the condescension towards her, especially given the potential alluded to by Halperin for gender politics to enter this race. For what its worth, former McCain associate Mark McKinnon thinks shes going to run even though neither she nor the country are ready for it. Note well his point at the end about what a Palin loss in the primary would mean; given the fervor her supporters are known for and the likelihood that the race will turn nasty, hes totally right about the possibility of devastating party divisions in the general election.
Exit question: Some Palin critics are speculating that the Bristol/Levi tabloid wedding announcement was secretly blessed by Sarah. Um, given the fact that her alleged unseriousness is already a major political liability for her, why on earth would she do that?
“Romney advisor on Palin: Shes not a serious human being”
I don’t see them saying that about Duncan Hunter, or Pawlenty...so I guess SARAH is the BIG-TIME FAVORITE for 2012.
I hope President Palin finds a place for Rep. Hunter in her administration such as Secretary of the Army or ICE director, etc...
Well you Romneyites, I voted for Mitt during the last Republican Presidential primary. THE NEXT DAY, he dropped out. He’ll never get my vote again. I don’t care if he’s the last “Republican” on Earth. I won’t vote for him.
Huh? Romney? What planet are we on, again?
If she gets the nomination, you can count me in for all I can afford.
Meaning she is not an IvY League Alinsky grad with more anxiety than a constipated monk at a nudist colony.
Dude, glad to see you are back on line!!!
“I hope President Palin finds a place for Rep. Hunter in her administration such as Secretary of the Army or ICE director, etc...”
AMEN. The last person to have a problem with that would be me.
Memo to Mitt Romney:
If you showed up for a speech in Podunk, Missouri, you’d draw about 500 people, most of them political hacks.
Palin could show up, unannounced, and draw 5000 average Americans.
Now, why would you and your political minions be so worried about someone who is “not a serious person”? Cause she will BURY you if she runs.
Hey Mitt you RINO, FU and the advisers you rode in on
Romney's bad behavior Exposed by Seamus
Sarah has more brains, common sense, and balls than any of the others I’ve seen. If she runs, she will get every dollar I can afford.
Romney is a has been RINO and Huckabee is a jerk-wannabe rock musician.
I love Newt, but he’s got too much baggage.
“Hello. My name is Michael Bloomburg. I’m a multi-billionaire and I understand the hardship you are going through.”
Next.
I didn’t know Democrats were advising Mitt.
Not a good idea for Romney to be taking the same line of attack against Palin that the Democrats did. Palin fans have been fighting that one for two years. They would take kindly to having the same thing said by a Republican.
Keep listening to your "advisor" and you will waste more of your millions running in another loosing campaign.
Sans the firing squad, for now.
Because of the way it was explained by her daughter, Palin doesn't have to answer any questions about the engagement. She "didn't know" about it so there is nothing she can offer. All she can so is offer her blessings, which she did.
If you wanted to be really cynical you could suggest that Palin wants the marriage now so the entire sideshow of her single mom daughter is settled with Bristol's marriage is old news by the time she runs.
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