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To: Oliver Optic
Prior to Super Tuesday there will have been some 232 delegates chosen or at least been through some elective process. On Super Tuesday there will be 1081 delegates up for selection for a total of 1313 at days end. I don't think the winner who needs 1191 to nominated will reach that number by days end.

After Super Tuesday there will be another 1067 delegates available assuming no reinstatement of the penalized states. I think that Huckabee will be gone for sure and if Guiliani falters as the current polls are showing in his big states such as NY, CA, FL, NJ, etc. then he'll be gone. That will leave Romney and McCain to battle it out. I think one of them will secure the needed 1191 when it's over and there will be no brokered convention. My opinion and opinions are plentiful as most people have them.

Here are the Super Tuesday states that make up the 1081 delegates:

Alabama (48, WTAP/T2P+PP);
Alaska (29, CC);
Arizona (53, WTAP);
Arkansas (34, PP);
California (173, WTAP);
Colorado (46, CC);
Connecticut (30, WTAP);
Delaware (18, WTAP);
Georgia (72, WTAP);
Illinois (70, LP);
Massachusetts (43, PP);
Minnesota (41, CC);
Missouri (58, WTAP);
Montana (25, AP);
New Jersey (52, WTAP);
New York (101, WTAP);
North Dakota (26, CC);
Oklahoma (41, WTAP);
Tennessee (55, WTAP/PP);
Utah (36, WTAP);
West Virginia (30, WTA+PP+CC)

30 posted on 01/24/2008 2:52:30 PM PST by deport (Go Florida... --12 days Super Tuesday -- [ Meanwhile:-- Cue Spooky Music--])
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To: deport
"I think that Huckabee will be gone for sure and if Guiliani falters as the current polls are showing in his big states such as NY, CA, FL, NJ, etc. then he'll be gone."

I agree that the snake-handler and the crossdresser will be gone, but what about all the delegates that have been won, including Fred if any? Don't the delegates still have to vote for the "winners"? Maybe they can be reassigned.

36 posted on 01/26/2008 9:39:15 PM PST by matthew fuller (John Bolton/ Newt Gingrich 2008)
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