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You have just pointed out another aspect of this poll which is very bad news for Taylor. In the makeup of the District, the Democrats have about a 2% edge in registration. (The District still votes solidly conservative, since a significant number of the Democrats are "Zell Miller" ones, who have no use for the "Asheville liberals," as they say.

If the sample had been in accord with the registration of the District, Shuler would have been above 50% (with the "leaners" thrown in). That is fatal news for a 16-year incumbent, that a lightweight neophyte Democrat is that far ahead, this far before the election. And I expect that the news for Taylor will get even worse as this election progresses through the summer.

If Taylor drops out, or is forced out (think Democrat Senator Torricelli in New Jersey in 2004), I can beat Shuler if I have two months remaining to run. If not, I can beat Shuler in 2008.

Shuler claims to be "a conservative." But by 2008 he will have shown his true striped by voting for Nancy Pelosi for Minority Leader in the House, and by indicating that he will support the Democrat nominee for President, even if that is Hillary Clinton. Folks hereabouts do not take kindly to either Pelosi or Clinton (him or her).

I invite everyone interested in this thread to visit my campaign website, per the address in the tagline.

John Armor (aka Congressman Billybob)

Shuler is blessed with the fact that he never held a poltical office before. Thus he can say all things to all people. Should Schuler win this fall, I think the GOP challenger in 2008 will be aided by Liddy Dole running for re-election and the Presidential race, esp if Hillary is running.