*POSSIBLE BUSH LANDSLIDE PING*
As usual, the Cajun vote in southern Louisiana west of New Orleans will decide the outcome. Chances are, they will stick with Bush. They are largely responsible for Bush's victory over Gore.
The third Congressional district is more complicated than is mentioned. Republicans have two first-tier candidates running. Billy Tauzin III has national fundraising support, but has no electoral record of his own. A number of local Republicans support state Senator Craig Romero, a former Iberia Parish President (equivilent to county executive). Meanwhile, the 'Rats have a strong candidate in Charles Melconcan, scion of a sugar-producing empire.
If this stays the case, great. Louisiana is never an easy state to win.
Very interesting reading. Thanks for the ping.
My concern isn't so much Dubya losing LA, but that we'll fall short on the Senate seat... because when it goes to a later-date runoff, we get killed by fraud or chicanery (Moore-Breaux '86; Jenkins-Landrieu '96; Jindal-Blanco '03).
I just saw a Kerry ad in Louisiana. It was on Fox News, so maybe it was run nationally.
Is Jock Scott running for the Alexander House seat? I did not know that the Republicans were contesting that race. Scott's father, the late Nauman Scott, was the Nixon-appointed federal judge who ordered massive cross-parish school busing to achieve racial balance in the 1970s and 1980s.