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In an age when it seems no one can keep a secret, I am willing to bet a few bucks that if there were real aliens, or their remains, we would be seeing them on Fox News.

By the way, what are these error types, I and II? I never heard of them before.

Having had a TOP SECRET CRYPTO Navy Radioman security clearance, I can assure you that SOME things CAN be kept secret.

But, the record shows that there have been thousands of leaks. And they are increasingly coming into the public record with signed affidavits etc.

In scientific research with a null hypothesis, the statistics are calculated that the results are due to X.XXX% to chance or not.

In essence--the resulting stat asserts that SOMETHING is THERE vs NOTHING is there. . . . whatever the hypothesis was about.

1.000 reliability asserts that there's one chance in 1,000 that the found results of the study could have occurred by chance assuming the design and stats were all kosher and solid.

So, if you say SOMETHING'S THERE but there really isn't--that's a Type I error.

To say NOTHING'S THERE but there really IS SOMETHING there--would be a TYPE II error.

Tin-foil hat flingers seem to be addicted to a HUGE BIAS for risking a TYPE I error instead of a TYPE II error.

In an age when it seems no one can keep a secret, I
am willing to bet a few bucks that if there were real aliens,
or their remains, we would be seeing them on Fox News.

I used to feel as you do concerning the inability to keep
secrets. What it took to disavow me of this notion was
the impossible nature of the 'suicide' of Vince Foster in
Fort Marcy park. No way, no how. And yet, the
number of crimes that were involved in failing to bring to
light the real causes of this murder was a large number,
from medical doctors lying about the nature of their
hardware equipment to car keys magically self-
transporting to surveillance videotape disappearing. I no longer believe in the need for humans to get truth out.