Civil War Comes to the West, Part II: Strategic Realities

Military Strategy Magazine Voume 10, Issue 2 ^ | David Betz

[Tench_Coxe]

At the time of writing the countries that are most likely to experience the outbreak of violent civil conflict first are Britain and France—both of which have already experienced what may be described as precursor or exemplary incidents of the kind discussed further below. The conditions are similar, however, throughout Western Europe as well as, for slightly different reasons, the United States;[ii] moreover, it must be assumed that if civil war breaks out in one place it is likely to spread elsewhere.[iii]

(snip)

In short, things are manifestly worsening right now. They are, however, going to get very much worse—I would estimate over not more than five years. That is because of the combination of two other vital factors. The first is the urban versus rural dimension of the coming conflicts which, in turn, is a result of migrant settlement dynamics. Simply put, the major cities are radically more diverse and have a growing mutually hostile political relationship with the country in which they are embedded.

(snip)

Prior to the outbreak of conflict, map-based identification of suitable secure zones should be undertaken. Additional useful preparation would include the establishment of secure civil defence centres and stockpiling of necessities. An existing model that might be reactivated or copied and adapted, is the early Cold War British Regional Seats of Government system. In that case, the working threat assumption was of a nuclear attack, in which event central government might cease to exist. Control would then pass to a regional commissioner whose staff would seek to replicate as many aspects of central government as they were able.[xxviii]

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[Tench_Coxe]

The stories lately about the UK telling its citizens to stock up on 'tins' and water because of 'Russia' I think is the red herring to what is really going on--at some level, 'they' know that civil conflict is coming.

[redfreedom]

As a person that’s lived in a 3rd world country such as Ethiopia as well as a war vet in Vietnam, my opinion is the last thing we need is a civil war.

It brings total devastation which includes starvation, disease, executions and battle field deaths.

If only the GOP would do their job and represent the people and fight the rats politically we could stop a probable civil war.

[Tench_Coxe]

"As a person that’s lived in a 3rd world country such as Ethiopia as well as a war vet in Vietnam, my opinion is the last thing we need is a civil war."

I agree with you on that. Especially because its not going to be like the last one (1861-1865), but would probably look like the Spanish Civil War, the Balkans in the 1990s, or perhaps a version of Argentina's Dirty War (although I think that would come from the 'left', if you take in the rhetoric of late being spewed by not only rando nutjobs, but by sitting Congresspersons).
As to the latter, those talking about putting people into concentration camps, or cheering the assassination of public figures,etc.(and its ALL coming from one vector, not both sides), have probably never had to look down a barrel with the person behind it saying: 'You mind repeating that for me'?