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To: MinorityRepublican
The current numbers you cite look correct. However, President Trump has committed to 32 days of nationwide campaigning. In Texas, Republican ads are increasing and beginning to overcome Democrat ones. If the Iran War stays on the back burner and fuel prices begin to decline as more shipments are coming through the Persian Gulf and the Saudi pipeline to the Red Sea has been repaired, the economy card becomes less important.

The cards Republicans have to play are the culture wars card, the tougher on crime card, and the keep taxes low card. If they play them effectively, the core MAGA base will be motivated to come out to vote. Unfortunately, the 2026 version of Reagan Democrats are more motivated by economic issues and the alt-right types (Tucker Carlson, Nick Fuentes, et. al.) have been alienated by Trump attacking Iran and his failure to go after the Democrats who tried to sabotage him, from Hillary and Obama on down. Then you have the RINO types who have been anti-MAGA from 2015 onward and who want to sabotage this Administration, e.g., Karl Rove.

It is a tough field the Republicans have to play, but barring some catastrophe in October, the GOP may not suffer a massive loss this time. As for the Senate, North Carolina is a probable loss, and Ohio, Texas, Maine, and even Kansas are iffy. There is a possible pickup in Michigan. If we go 50-50 on the four in question, we wind up with a 51-49 split.

22 posted on 09/30/2026 7:38:36 AM PDT by Wallace T.
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To: Wallace T.

The biggest problem for Republicans in mid terms is TURN OUT. And we can see here, right on Free Republic, demoralized and deminished Republican zeal due to the Iran war, failure to get any EOs from leftist judges’ nays and total failure of a thin margin GOP and RINO failure to pass legislation like the SAVE act.

We HAVE to get our numbers out. There is no other way.

I’m just not sure we can do so, even with a barnstorming Trump.

I suppose here at Free Republic we need to be a constant thorn in other peoples’ sides to GET OUT AND VOTE.

If you have any friends or relatives that want to pass on this election, you need to work on them!

Churches too, should have sermons on not failing to vote. It is a God given right that HAS TO BE used; an obligation.


28 posted on 09/30/2026 8:27:16 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (The greatest power the media has is the power to ignore.)
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