Predicting the future - with respect to very dynamic systems like weather - is a fool’s errand. BUT - a radical change in the pattern would have to develop, and quite quickly, for there to be anything approaching even a slow season. Was it you that posted the link saying September is the peak month for hurricanes in a previous post? Sure - but it’ll be over in a week and there are no new cells in the 7 day forecast, so right now it looks like not only have we passed the season peak (mid-September) but we’re going to exit the peak month with no hurricanes, few storms, and going into seasonal decline.
Again - I’m not predicting anything - but this is a well over 100 year record being broke. That’s not a trivial occurrence.
We are heading into Solar Minimum.
The sun is producing less energy so we can expect cooler weather, generally.
But as with all things weather related, we are talking averages over long periods.
No mathematical model is going to predict the future.
I pray that it won’t be a Grand Solar Minimum.
I’m too old for an Ice Age.