Those people are going to vote D no matter what, that’s 20%-30% of the voters.. I’m not talking about them, they are unmovable.. just like 20-30% will vote R no matter how bad the GOP candidate is.
Its the 40-60% in the middle that I am talking about... and those are the folks who the reminder of how corrupt the D’s were putting an invalid into office and lied to their faces about it for years will impact.
This is true of nearly every election. 20-30% (each side) are going to vote for their party no matter what, or will stay home rather than vote for the other side.
Those aren’t the people you need to sway.. Other than to get them to show up. Its the other 40-60% you need to move.
Democrats are in a bad way right now, however, that doesn’t mean people won’t vote for them out of anger, or that GOP voters won’t show up out of anger.
If gas prices are still high, and no meaningful progress happens between now and september on Iran... Dems will likely see decent gains.
They are almost certain to take the house no matter what, just based on the fact its a midterm, they are out of power, and they only need to net gain less than a handful of seats.
At the moment, a blue “wave” is not indicated, but if gas prices in particular, are still high come Sept/Oct... That will no longer likely be the case... not that voters are sold on Democrats, but they will voice their anger at the GOP by voting against them, or not voting for them.
IF on the other hand, gas prices are down significantly, I think this will be far more muted.
The Economy is the key, always has been, always will be. Gas prices affect the working class hardest, and much of Trump’s/GOP support in last several cycles have come from here.. If they lose them, the Dems will have a good night, not because folks are buying what they are selling, but they are angry and voting against those in power.
I’d say GOP has maybe 6-8 weeks tops to get gas prices down, and that means getting something substantial accomplished in Iran, at least in terms of their ability to sew chaos.
We shall see
$4.19/gal in town.
Well said.
The votes that will decide these midterms are going to turn on gas prices, and ensuring that there are no more flag-draped coffins coming home from a conflict that we have supposedly “won” about 25 times already.
We have probably already taken more casualties and suffered more damage to our Middle East bases than the official story being told.
Pain at the pump and grocery store, along with the feeling of being back in another “forever Middle East war” draining blood and treasure when we were promised America First, will mean more than talk of hypothetical WMD’s that Iran has been “2 weeks away” from having for 40 years.
The neocon and Israel First arguments aren’t going to fly if this keeps going into the fall.
I’m not ready to have congressional Bolsheviks in power, more dead American troops, and a wrecked economy as the price to pay for trying to continue to reopen a strait that was not previously closed prior to March and attempts to eliminate WMD’s that don’t exist.
Iran is not some isolated small patch of flat open desert governed by goat humpers whose main arsenal of weapons are IED’s and idiots wearing suicide vests.
To take out a large, mountainous regional power that has resources and tech capability will need us to either mobilize for real war with all the monetary and blood sacrifices involved, or use tactical nukes and risk the ultimate Black Swan event.
For those who say “they have been fighting us for 47 years”, are you really ready to go full WW2 footing or risk a global great depression to fully wipe them out at this point?
The Mullahs suck but so does $10/gallon gas, Middle East quagmires, Commmunists in Congress, and flag-draped American coffins.
I think you’re right, HJ. I must be in the 20-30% GOP or nothing group, because I voted for George W. Bush, John McCain, and Mitt Romney—but consider the alternatives!